Angels vs. Astros MLB Pick – August 25th

The Los Angeles Angels and Houston Astros wrap up their three-game series on Sunday at Minute Maid Park. The Astros were winners on Saturday, as they struck early for 5 runs by the end of the 3rd inning. That was all of the offense that the Astros needed with Wade Miley on the bump. Miley chewed the Angels up in 5 innings, as they scored just 1-run while he was out there.

He’s been one of the most underrated acquisitions from this past year. The Astros didn’t want to pay Charlie Morton, so they landed on Miley, which was an excellent compromise in Houston. Morton has been playing great baseball for the Rays, but Miley is getting it done for a cheaper price in Houston.

He is working himself into the postseason rotation for the Astros. They are well set with a stacked rotation for October. It’s hard to ignore the Astros when it comes to the World Series. The Dodgers are stacked as well throughout their rotation and lineup, but if you want the more clutch team, then go with the Astros. And when it comes to the Yankees, Houston has a lot of arms to throw at that lineup. If the Astros’ pitching staff have an off week, that would make for the window that the Yankees need.

The ‘Stros are seeking a sweep following wins of 5-4 and 5-2. Framber Valdez will find himself in the bullpen in October for the Astros. He is the fifth member of the rotation and is the easy choice to cut out of the postseason rotation. There isn’t much debate there. Valdez is expected to get the nod in the series finale against the Angels in this one. The Angels are scheduled to go with Jaime Barria. Head below for our free Angels vs. Astros pick.

L.A. Angels vs. Houston Astros Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Astros -210/Angels +180
  • O/U: 10.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Jaime Barria (4-6, 6.35 ERA)
  • Framber Valdez (3-6, 5.58 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

The only question mark in the rotation has been Framber Valdez this season for the Astros. He’s the main reason why the Astros went out and picked up Aaron Sanchez from the Blue Jays. It can’t be much worse than Valdez, so it was a why not kind of thing.

Valdez is filling in for Sanchez on Sunday following being designated to the 10-day IL with muscle soreness. Sanchez could prove to be a valuable weapon for the Astros out of the bullpen in the postseason, so keeping him healthy is important.

Valdez hopes to improve upon a 5.58 ERA and 1.59 WHIP. He hasn’t made an appearance since July 15th in the major leagues, having been demoted to the minors after getting hammered again. Valdez was getting punched in the mouth before the Astros said we’ve had enough. He was demoted after posting a 19.29 ERA and 3.29 WHIP in his previous three appearances.

His last game was against the Angels as a reliever. Valdez got exploited for 6 hits and 7 runs in 4 innings. Prior to getting demoted, Valdez had allowed at least 4 earned runs in four straight outings. If there’s anything that isn’t going in the Astros’ direction in this game, it’s Valdez getting the nod on an otherwise blemish free rotation. Fortunately for the Astros, they should have a money day at the plate against Barria.

Barria has been statistically worse than Valdez in 2019, as he goes into Houston with a 6.35 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. He has been terrible on the road, with an ERA of 9.00 and 1.85 WHIP on the road. Barria has been handling opponents in Anaheim, but it isn’t anything close to the truth as a visiting hurler. He’s been struggling recently as well, with a 6.59 ERA in his last 13.2 innings. Expect this to be the highest scoring game of the series, which should be enough to get us OVER the total.

The Bet
OVER 10.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.