We split our MLB picks last night thanks to the Reds scratching across two meaningless runs in the 9th to push over the 6.5 total. Meanwhile, the Royals and Rays stayed comfortably under the eight run threshold to give us a split on the day.
Let’s see if we can notch a pair of winners today and get back to our winning ways. We will take a look at a pick in each league and aim for another 2-0 days.
Today’s free MLB picks:
New York Mets +127 at Atlanta Braves -134 (Total: 7.5)
Bartolo Colon vs. Aaron Harang
Aaron Harang pitched fantastic in his Braves debut, holding a no-hitter until the 7th inning, and eventually leaving with just two hit allowed and no runs allowed earning the win. However, there is a reason Harang is on his sixth team in as many years, and it isn’t because he is throwing no-hit shutouts. I’m willing to chalk up last week’s start as a pleasant aberration and perhaps a sign some of his injuries are behind him, but I’m not willing to call him an ace and to make him a prohibitive Vegas favorite against an established All-Star pitcher on the opposing mound.
Bartolo Colon hasn’t seen the Braves since 2002, spending most of his career in the American League, but he should have an opportunity for success tonight, as only BJ Upton in the Braves lineup has seen a lot of Colon and had some success against him (7 for 23). The Braves have been held to two or less runs in four of their first six games, though their pitching has bailed them out en route to a 4-2 start.
I think the Mets will get a few runs off Harang tonight and I like the value of getting the better starting pitcher at plus-money. Let’s take a flyer on the underdog Mets tonight in ATL.
Los Angeles Angels +110 at Seattle Mariners -116 (Total: 7.5)
Hector Santiago vs. James Paxton
The Mariners will take their strong 4-2 start home to Seattle for the first time this season. Expect the crowd to be amped up to welcome their prize addition Robinson Cano to town, as well as their other less-acclaimed additions like Corey Hart. However, I think the excitement tonight will be provided by both offenses.
Paxton was excellent last week against the Angels, throwing seven scoreless innings in Anaheim. However, tonight is the Halo’s second look at him, and I expect Trout and Hamilton and company to have better results tonight. The Angels are averaging 5.34 runs per contest, so don’t be surprised to see them break out a little bit tonight in Safeco.
Meanwhile, the Angels will likely need some runs to back up Hector Santiago. He was roughed up a bit in his season debut, allowing ten baserunners in just five innings and taking the loss. I don’t see him mowing down the Mariners tonight either – the end result? We should have a good night for offense.