We got a little bit unlucky last night to earn a push on the over nine runs total bet in the Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets game. There was plenty of scoring early, as the there were four runs scored in the first three innings and I felt great about our side of the bet. The problem was that all those runs were scored by the Reds. The Mets seemed a little discouraged and weren’t scoring, and the Reds seemed content with hanging onto their healthy lead.
New York finally showed some signs of life in the sixth inning when they posted a two spot on the board. Cincy fired right back with three in the bottom of the seventh that put us right at the number. We had two full innings to freeroll on the over and couldn’t get a run across and had to take home a push. Looking back on it, the over was clearly the side to be on as Jason Vargas is an absolute joke right now and Castillo didn’t do much better for Cincinnati. What can you do, we get a refund and live to fire again today. Today I will stay in the National League and take a look at the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The Arizona Diamondbacks are in Los Angeles Wednesday for game two of a quick two-game series with the Dodgers, looking for the sweep. This is already the twelfth meeting between the two teams this year, and the Diamondbacks are dominating the series to the tune of an 8-3 record. Arizona has the best record in the National League, the Dodgers are a disappointing five games below .500 and are in fourth place in the National League West Division.
Starting tonight for the DBacks is Patrick Corbin (4-0 2.15 ERA) and for the Dodgers it is Alex Wood (0-3 3.83 ERA). The Dodgers are -118 home favorites. The game total over-under is set at seven runs. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM PST from Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles.
The Arizona Diamondbacks absolutely own the Dodgers this year. And the most interesting thing about there games this season has been the fact that Arizona has been the underdog in just about every game. In all but two of the games that these two teams have played so far this year, the Diamondbacks have been the underdogs. They are the underdogs once again here tonight.
I keep saying its early, and that there is a lot of baseball left to be played. But at some point, it is getting to be not that early, and the Dodgers still haven’t figured things out this season. Thirty-five games are a decent sample size, and LA looks like a team that is nowhere near a playoff caliber squad. The Dodgers were bad for much of the season with Corey Seager in the lineup, and they are certainly not doing any better now that Seager is out for the year with an injury.
When I see them as favorites tonight, all I can think of is that the betting public still thinks this is last year’s National League Championship team. Well, it’s not. This is a losing team that just lost their best player and can’t figure out how to string together wins. You would think that at some point the books and public would acknowledge that, but as of yet, they are still favored in most of their games despite their struggles.
Starting tonight for LA is Alex Wood. Wood is certainly better than his 0-3 record would lead you to believe. His 3.83 ERA is respectable and really is only inflated by one really bad start earlier in the season where he got hammered for seven runs in three and two-thirds of an inning against the Oakland A’s. Besides that one start, he has actually been pretty good despite the fact that he has yet to record his first win of the year.
There is no doubt about the season that Patrick Corbin is having. Corbin is enjoying a career year so far and has run up a perfect 4-0 record in his seven starts. He is punching out guys at an elite rate. Corbin has sixty strikeouts in just forty-six innings pitched this season. He has been even better against these Dodgers this year and pitched thirteen and a third innings and has given up only four hits and one earned run. When I said the DBacks own the Dodgers this season, a big reason for that has been the lights out pitching of one Patrick Corbin.
This is just a bad number. That’s it. There is no other way to explain it. You have the best team in the National League playing against a losing squad that is barely keeping their heads above water, and they are the underdogs? It just makes no sense.
The DBacks are the significantly better team, and they are getting way the best of the starting pitching matchup as well. The fact that they are getting dog money is just the cherry on top here, I would like Arizona even if I had to lay some wood on them. So, I guess I will thank the Vegas powered West Coast bias on the Dodgers for putting this line in such a great spot and jump all over Arizona in this matchup. Give me the Arizona Diamondbacks at -102 tonight from Los Angeles!