Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Pick – MLB September 14, 2021

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers meet for the second time in two days following a 5-1 win for the Dodgers on Monday night. The Diamondbacks struck early against Clayton Kershaw, but he settled in and didn’t give up another run in his time on the mound. The offense also fired back with 3 runs in the bottom of the 1st against Zac Gallen.

The Diamondbacks had the lead for a minute, but that didn’t last long. Gallen went 5.1 innings with 8 hits and 4 earned runs allowed. He also issued 3 walks, as his command was a bit wild in that performance. The Dodgers needed the win to keep pace with the sizzling hot San Francisco Giants.

The Giants won again, this time their win guarantees them a spot in the postseason. They are the first team in the major leagues to clinch after going into this year with no expectations. The Dodgers have their sights on the Giants, but they keep winning. Neither team can afford to stop winning at this point.

It wouldn’t take much for the Giants to lose their lead, and conversely, it wouldn’t take a whole lot for the Dodgers to fall back and out of contention. With only approximately two weeks left in the regular season, there is no longer a window left to go cold. As it stands now, the Dodgers would have homefield advantage as a wildcard.

The Giants would be going into the majors with homefield advantage through the World Series. If the Dodgers can catch the Giants, they will likely be the team going into the postseason with the best overall record in the majors. Remember that the All-Star Game has no bearing on homefield in the World Series now.

Arizona is looking to finish up the season with some momentum going into next year. They are in contention for the first pick in the draft. The Diamondbacks dropped to 47-97 with the loss, and just a game better than the Baltimore Orioles for the worst record in the major leagues. A series against the Dodgers should help them in that race to the bottom.

The Diamondbacks are scheduled to send Luke Weaver to the bump for the second game of this series. The Dodgers are expected to open with Tony Gonsolin on Tuesday night. His arm should be fresh for the postseason after the Dodgers played it smart with him this year. Head below for our free Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers pick on September 14, 2021.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (+105) +220 Over 9 (+100)
LA Dodgers -1.5 (-125) -245 Under 9 (-120)
Team Data Arizona Diamondbacks LA Dodgers
Overall Record 47-97 92-53
Away/Home Record 19-54 50-23
Batting Average .233 .237
Batting Average Away/Home .219 .234
Runs Per 9 4.23 5.15
Team ERA 5.21 2.96
Team ERA Away/Home 5.42 2.90

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Prediction:

Luke Weaver has been serviceable for the Diamondbacks this season. He is entering Dodger Stadium with an ERA of 4.24 and a 1.14 WHIP. Weaver has shown something after getting drilled last year. It was a disappointing campaign for Weaver after he had a career season in 2019.

In his fifth season in the majors, Weaver posted an ERA of 2.94 and a 1.07 WHIP in 2018. It was his first season with an ERA better than 3.00. However, Weaver was unable to build on that success, as he struggled to get on track in the shortened COVID season. Weaver recorded an ERA of 6.58 and a 1.56 WHIP through 12 games in 2020.

He’s been able to stabilize this season, but still hasn’t matched what he was able to accomplish two years back. Weaver has been particularly strong at Chase Field in the desert. He has a strong ERA of 1.95 and 0.87 WHIP across 33 innings of work. However, the sky has turned dark for Weaver on the road.

Weaver has an ERA of 8.20 and a 1.61 WHIP on the road this season. The opposition has notched a .345 OBP versus Weaver on the road in 2021. He’s had a problem with keeping the ball in the park, as he’s conceded 6 in 20.1 innings on the road as opposed to just 1 long ball in 33 innings at Chase Field in Arizona.


Arizona Diamondbacks vs. LA Dodgers Betting Trends:

Diamondbacks

  • Record (Last 10): 3-7
  • 3-12 overall in their previous 15 games
  • 2-12 overall in their previous 14 games versus the Dodgers
  • 1-12 overall in their previous 13 games at Dodger Stadium
  • OVER is 8-2 in their previous ten games
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games on the road
  • OVER is 5-1 versus the Dodgers in their previous six meetings
  • Luke Weaver ERA (Last 3): 2.40

Dodgers

  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four games
  • 7-0 overall in their previous seven games at Dodger Stadium
  • 12-1 overall in their previous 13 games versus the Diamondbacks at Dodger Stadium
  • UNDER is 13-5 in their previous 18 games
  • Tony Gonsolin (Last 3): 2.70

Tony Gonsolin has been used as a bullpen opener and true starter this season. Gonsolin could go the distance and pitch as a starter. However, the bullpen games have been working out nicely for the Dodgers. They haven’t been overworking their starters, which should payoff big in October

It helps to have a bullpen that is as talented as the Dodgers. The Dodgers are second in the majors with a bullpen ERA of 3.15 and a 1.20 WHIP. Only the Giants’ bullpen has been better this season.

That just goes to show how important having a quality bullpen is for success. Conversely, the Diamondbacks are one of the worst teams in the majors and have a bullpen ERA of 5.28. The worst? You guessed it. The Baltimore Orioles.

Gonsolin has been in good form with an ERA of 2.79 and a 1.47 WHIP this season. He has been solid at home with a 2.66 ERA and 1.38 WHIP through 21 innings at Dodger Stadium.

The Diamondbacks haven’t been too successful against Gonsolin in his career. They’re hitting .210 versus Gonsolin in 55 at-bats. If the Dodgers are interested, and they should be given how hot the Giants are, this should be another multi-run win.

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Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Pick
LA DODGERS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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