Merrill Kelly (1-1, 2.63 ERA) vs. Chris Paddack (2-0, 2.65 ERA)
The Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres will meet for the second time in this series on Saturday. It wasn’t a day for the offenses last night. The Diamondbacks failed to find a run, while the Padres scored two early runs to sink the D-backs in the early stages of the contest.
They ultimately won the contest by a score of 3-0 behind a standout performance by Zach Davies. Davies worked 5.2 innings and conceded just 2 hits while racking up 6 strikeouts. That’s all the Padres needed to record their eighth win of the season. They own a record of 8-6 for a 4.5-game disadvantage on the Colorado Rockies.
The Rockies are currently up in the NL West with a record of 10-3. The Dodgers sit a half game behind the Rockies for first in the division. It’s been a great start for the Rockies, but let’s see if they can sustain this. With an expanded playoff on the docket, they’ve done themselves some favors with this hot start.
I think the Dodgers ultimately take things over in the division and win the NL West. However, that doesn’t mean the Rockies can’t get into the postseason and cause some noise. They’re a better team than the public is giving them credit for, but I have the feeling they might peak too early in the season.
San Diego has a decent enough chance of reaching the postseason as well. They are likely more of a bubble team, but have the talent to get there. 21-year-old Fernando Tatis Jr. is a budding star that is on the verge of being a yearly All-Star. He along with Manny Machado make the Padres a dangerous enough team to contend with.
Chris Paddack appears to be rounding into form as well. Paddack is scheduled to get the starting nod in this one. The Diamondbacks are likely going with Merrill Kelly on the road on Saturday night. Head below for our free Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres pick for August 8, 2020.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres MLB Baseball Betting Odds:
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Prediction:
There is some exciting young talent on the Padres, and a proven veteran in Manny Machado to spearhead their effort in 2020. Fernando Tatis Jr. flashed plenty of promise in his rookie season a year ago. Tatis Jr. hit .317 with 22 home runs in 334 at-bats. He recorded an impressive OBP of .379 for a rookie.
Instead of hacking at everything, Tatis Jr. showed great patience, which was really nice for a guy with limited experience in the major leagues. He’s off to a quick start in 2020, with a .291 batting average and 5 long balls. Chris Paddack is another one of the talented youngsters on the Padres. Paddack gets the call as he looks to stay hot tonight against the Diamondbacks.
Paddack enters Saturday with an ERA of 2.65 and 0.94 WHIP. He’s coming off three productive outings against the Diamondbacks, Giants, and Dodgers. Paddack most recently allowed 3 runs against the Dodgers, which isn’t bad against that high-powered lineup that the Dodgers possess. In his first outing against Arizona this season, he was strong with 4 hits and no runs allowed across 6 innings of work. In 66 at-bats, the D-backs have managed to score just 1 run against Paddack in his career. Arizona is 26th in the league with 3.43 runs scored per game in 2020.
Conversely, the Padres have scored 10 runs on Merrill Kelly in 49 at-bats. Tatis Jr. has had a lot of success facing Kelly, as he’s swatted 2 home runs in 5 at-bats. As a team, the Padres are hitting .270 with a .303 OBP against Kelly. The former SK Wyvern of the KBO has been solid in two starts this season, though. He owns a 2.63 ERA and 0.95 WHIP after a dazzling performance versus the Rangers, though got away with some bad pitches against the Dodgers.
Kelly gave up 3 hits and 1 run against the Rangers, and 9 hits and 3 runs against the Dodgers. With 9 hits and 3 earned runs conceded in 6 innings, Kelly is lucky that he was only charged with 3 runs in that game. The Dodgers had him on the ropes. A career 4.29 pitcher in the majors, I think that’s a better indicator of Kelly than his current 2.63 ERA. I’m backing Paddack and the Padres to find their stroke on Saturday at Petco.