Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Pick – MLB July 17, 2022

The Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres conclude a three-game series at Petco Park and the first half of the season. The Padres want a sweep on Sunday following a 5-3 and 4-3 win. They’re coming off a close win, with credit to the bullpen for holding things down after Sean Manaea exited the contest with 3 runs allowed.

Yu Darvish followed up yesterday afternoon with 5 hits and 3 earned runs allowed in 7 innings of work. Darvish could be better, but it was enough for the offense and bullpen to carry the Padres to their 52nd win of the season. A 3-run shot from Luke Voit was the difference.

The Padres looked good over the last two days, but they need several more games like that in the second half. They trail the Dodgers by 9.5 games in the NL West.

At 52-41 on the season, the Padres are better prepared to compete for the wildcard in the National League. That’s way more realistic than catching the Dodgers, who are clear and likely not looking back now.

The Padres in the postseason as a healthy team look dangerous on paper. That includes Fernando Tatis Jr. He must be active for the Padres to get over the hump. It may also require an additional bat added before the trade deadline, which is a good possibility.

The D-backs are trending in the right direction, but to be two years off from bothering contenders in the NL West.

Even then, the Diamondbacks have to deal with the Dodgers and Padres. The Giants are still a good team as well. Just don’t see them keeping up with those two in the next few years.

The Diamondbacks are 21.5 games behind the Dodgers and 39-52 in the NL West. They are dead last and 2.5 games behind the fourth-place Rockies.

Merrill Kelly gets the final start before the All-Star Game for the Snakes. Former Guardian, Mike Clevinger is scheduled to have the start for the Padres. Head below for our free Diamondbacks vs. Padres prediction on July 17, 2022.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-160) +130 7.5 (-105)
San Diego Padres -1.5 (+135) -155 7.5 (-115)
Team Data Arizona Diamondbacks San Diego Padres
Overall Record 39-52 52-41
Away/Home Record 17-26 25-20
Batting Average .221 .238
Batting Average Away/Home .225 .222
Runs Per 9 4.25 4.42
Team ERA 4.38 3.78
Team ERA Away/Home 4.93 3.45

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction:

Merrill Kelly hasn’t been flashy this season, but he’s steadily getting the work done for the Diamondbacks. He’s done what they’ve asked of him in 2022. Kelly enters Petco Park with an ERA of 3.36 and a 1.22 WHIP.

Kelly has been consistent and that’s helped him post some above average numbers this season.

In his previous three starts, he’s posted an ERA of 3.26 and a 0.98 WHIP. He hasn’t strayed too far away from his season ERA. In 38 innings on the road, Kelly owns a 3.55 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.

Hosmer isn’t fooled by anything Kelly delivers. He’s hitting .357 with a home run and 6 RBIs in 28 at-bats. The Padres have knocked Kelly for 10 RBIs in 95 at-bats.

It’s the bullpen that has the main antagonist for the Diamondbacks. They rank towards the back of the major leagues with a 4.37 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.

If this is another close one that comes down to the bullpens, the Padres should have the edge again.

The Diamondbacks’ offense hasn’t helped carry the load, either. They are 28th in the majors with a team average of .223.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 2-8
  • 9-27 overall in their previous 36 games on a Sunday
  • 1-9 overall in their previous ten games versus the Padres
  • 0-7 overall in their previous seven games at San Diego
  • 1-6 overall in their previous seven games on the road
  • 14-50 overall in their previous 64 games on the road versus a team with a winning record


  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 5-2 overall in their previous seven games versus a team with a losing record
  • 9-1 overall in their previous ten games versus the Diamondbacks
  • 7-0 overall in their previous seven games versus the Diamondbacks at home
  • OVER is 6-2 in their previous eight games at home
  • OVER is 5-2 in their previous seven games versus a team with a losing record

  • Mike Clevinger is coming off a couple of poor starts, but should look good against a team he dominated not too long ago. Clevinger allowed 4 earned runs to the Mariners, and then 4 more against the Rockies. It’s not easy pitching at Coors Field, so not bad with that considered.

    Clevinger nailed the D-backs in a 4-0 win on June 29.

    The Diamondbacks failed to record a run and notched just 1 hit in the loss. The 31-year-old is well aware of how to fool this lineup.

    In 32 at-bats, the D-backs are hitting just .127 with 1 run vs Clevinger. This looks like the perfect spot for Clevinger to get his confidence back at home before the break.

    San Diego looks like the play to win and complete the sweep at home this afternoon.


    Diamondbacks vs. Padres Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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