Astros vs. Blue Jays MLB Pick – August 31st

The Houston Astros did what good teams do last night, as they buried an inferior opponent for a 7-4 victory. Toronto were the latest victim for the Astros, as they added their seventh win in the last eight games. They are playing like a team who want to have homefield advantage throughout the entire postseason. Unlike the Dodgers, who look like they’re in the process of getting their choking started early this season.

I’d rather get the losing out of the system now than in October, though. With the Yankees and Dodgers both losing yesterday, it allowed the Astros to tie the Yankees and Dodgers with 88 wins each. The Dodgers have played one more game than the Yanks and Astros, so they head into Saturday at 88-49 after a tight loss yesterday to the Diamondbacks. While the Dodgers don’t look interested in winning more games, the Astros have been flying around.

If you do a survey, you’re likely going to have most people select the Astros to win the World Series. Especially with Ryu seemingly getting shredded at the worst possible time, the Dodgers do not look as attractive as before. For the Blue Jays, they’re a few years off from being mentioned in serious postseason talks. With the young talent they have, it’s likely going to be worth the wait for Jays’ fans.

The offense has already shown a lot of promise for the Blue Jays. It’s hard not to be excited about the talent they’re going to have in the lineup in the near future. The pitching staff isn’t as certain for the Jays, though.

The front office must do their part in getting a complete starting rotation in Toronto. Clay Buchholz, who is not part of future plans, is scheduled to get the call for the Jays here. Rookie Framber Valdez is expected for the Astros. Head below for our free Astros vs. Blue Jays pick.

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Astros -177/Blue Jays +152
  • O/U: 10.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Framber Valdez (4-6, 5.14 ERA)
  • Clay Buchholz (0-3, 5.87 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Clay Buchholz will give it another go Saturday afternoon in Toronto. He is still searching for his first win of 2019 after getting injured back in May. Buchholz has appeared in six games and none of them have resulted in a win for the veteran. He was sharp in 16 starts for the Diamondbacks last season, ultimately posting a 2.01 ERA in 98.1 innings of work. That got the attention of the Blue Jays, though they haven’t been getting the same level of production out of him in Toronto.

Buchholz enters Saturday with a 5.87 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in just 30.2 innings. However, he was efficient in his first outing since May recently. Buchholz held the Mariners to 2 earned runs in 6 innings. Shutting down the Mariners doesn’t give us a good barometer of success, though. The Mariners are not a good team by any stretch of the imagination. He will get a much stingier test against the ‘Stros in this one.

Houston have been murdering the ball of late and no pitcher in a while has been able to silence them. The Astros have scored 5 runs or more in eight straight games. In their last five games, they’ve averaged 10 runs per game, so this is a serious uptick in talent vs the Mariners for Buchholz. They might need to score plenty of runs in this one.

While their rotation has been pitching fine, Framber Valdez has been struggling at the back. Barring injuries, he will not be a member of the postseason rotation. Valdez goes into Saturday with a 10.74 ERA and 2.38 WHIP in his last three showings.

He settled down in his most recent game, but this was at home in Houston. Valdez has been getting shelled on the road, with a 7.25 ERA and 2.01 WHIP in 22.1 innings. The Jays’ offense has room to develop, but they can still score. Look for at least 11 runs to put this contest OVER the total in Toronto today.

The Bet
OVER 10.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.