Astros vs. Reds MLB Pick – June 17th

The Houston Astros were humiliated on Sunday afternoon in Houston, as the lowly Blue Jays pounded them into the ground by a score of 15-0. After making it look so easy on Friday and Saturday, the Jays stood up and returned the favor. In an event, the Astros still won two out of three games, so it wasn’t a completely lost weekend. Losing like that to a team like the Jays isn’t the best look, though. That’s going to happen every now and then against bad teams. They still maintain a 9.5-game lead in the NL West, so not much has changed in that regard.

The Astros will head on the road this week, where they will be for seven games. After Cincinnati, they head to the Bronx for an exciting series with the Yankees. That is likely going to make for the series of the weekend, as it could be a preview of a postseason meeting. Both teams have gone through their share of bumps and bruises, making out just fine with some key players on the injury report. The Reds are 8 games back in the NL Central and are going to have a decision to make on Yasiel Puig soon.

They’re stuck in between selling or buying at the deadline. At 31-38 and one hot run away from being a postseason team, the Reds don’t want to give up too easily. However, at the same time, they might be able to flip Puig and get something good in return.

He’s been on a massive tear recently, which is going to make it more difficult to give him up. Puig has hit safely in five straight games, along with 2 long balls and 4 RBI’s. The results haven’t exactly followed, though, as the Reds are just 2-3 in their previous five games. In any case, they did have a nice day on Sunday against the Rangers, having won a 11-3 contest with Sonny Gray on the bump. It’s Luis Castillo’s turn in the rotation, while the Astros will look to Wade Miley on Monday. Head below for our free Astros vs. Reds pick.

Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Reds -112/Astros -108
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Wade Miley (6-3, 3.14 ERA)
  • Luis Castillo (6-1, 2.20 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

With the departures of Charlie Morton and Dallas Keuchel, not to mention injuries to Lance McCullers, the Astros have had to fill a few holes in their starting rotation. In large, it’s worked out quite well for the Astros. There aren’t too many teams around baseball who can lose three premium starting pitchers and still have a 9.5-game lead in their division. They’ve been hampered by injuries to their position players as well. It hasn’t mattered much, though, as the Astros continue to produce World Series contending results.

Wade Miley can be credited with lending a nice helping hand to the Astros’ rotation. Miley has been effective with an ERA of 3.14 and 1.16 WHIP in 80.1 innings of work. For a guy who hadn’t been solid since 2013 with the Diamondbacks until last season, the 32-year-old has reinvented himself to extend his career.

The only knack on Miley is his ability on the road in 2019. He has been lights out in Houston, where he’s posted an ERA of 1.91 and 1.02 WHIP. Conversely, Miley’s numbers drop hard to a 4.50 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. In his previous 14 innings on the road, Miley surrendered 10 runs. He must be better than that on Monday night against Castillo, who has developed into the ace of the ball club in Cincinnati.

Castillo and Gray have combined to be a nice 1-2 punch for the Reds, and are effectively responsible for keeping the Reds in the mix this season. Last in the NL Central and a record of 31-38 doesn’t seem like much, but it allows them to be within striking distance with still over three months left in the regular season.

Others are going to have to step it up, and Puig has been answering the call lately. Castillo has been on fire, posting a 1.56 ERA in his last three games. His effort at home has been strong with an ERA of 1.87 and 0.92 WHIP. In the Astros’ first game on the road since June 6th, look for Castillo and the Reds to come out on top on Monday night.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.