Astros vs. Rockies MLB Pick – July 3rd

Another exciting day at Coors Field on Tuesday in Denver. The Houston Astros and Colorado Rockies got into an entertaining matchup in a close 9-8 final. The Astros were on the winning side, as they bypassed the Rockies with a 4-run 7th inning. A 1-run lead isn’t much at Coors Field, but the Astros made it work and the bullpen put in an impressive performance down the stretch.

The expected result was for the Astros and Rockies to trade leads a few more times until the last team was standing. The Houston bullpen made sure that it wasn’t going to make for a crazy ending last night. Considering what we’ve seen at Coors Field over the past few weeks, it’s surprising that the 4-run inning by the Astros to take a 1-run lead was the dagger.

The Astros don’t want to rely on another 8 runs to win tonight, but they may have to in Colorado. As soon as you think it’s enough, more runs might be needed to get a win. The win gave the Astros their fourth straight win after sweeping the Mariners in three games.

Houston were cold prior to that, with a record of 2-9 in their previous eleven games. Every team in the majors, even the best, are allowed to go cold once or twice in the regular season. Even during the 2-9 run, the Astros maintained control in the AL West.

They now have a 7-game lead to work with, as we approach the All-Star break after this weekend. Wade Miley will look to turn in a solid performance for the Astros Wednesday night at Coors Field. Rookie Peter Lambert, who is in desperate need of a solid night, will counter for the Rockies. Head below for our free Astros vs. Rockies pick.

Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Astros -136/Rockies +114
  • O/U: 13.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Wade Miley (6-4, 3.39 ERA)
  • Peter Lambert (2-0, 6.57 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Rockies are on a treadmill while the Dodgers are running laps at the moment. It’s been that way all season, as no one has given the Dodgers much reason to worry. A walk-off walk in the 9th inning gave the Dodgers a record of 58-29 and a 13-game lead in the NL West. The lead is a little too much for the Rockies to overcome, but they do have the wildcard right there in front of them. It’s going to be a wild race there unlike this division. Peter Lambert is the top pitching prospect in the organization, but other than a couple of starts against the Cubs, Lambert has had no confidence on the bump. He allowed only 2 runs in 13 innings and then the wheels fell off hard for Lambert.

Since then, Lambert has gotten punished for an ERA of 11.37, 2.05 WHIP, and .406 OBA. He’s been learning to pitch at Coors Field on the fly as a rookie. The learning experience hasn’t gone well for him, as he’s gotten mauled in his last two outings in Denver. Lambert has allowed 13 earned runs in his previous 7.2 innings of work at home. Don’t expect him to suddenly look great against the Astros in this one, especially at Coors Field. Lambert carries a 9.95 ERA and 1.82 WHIP into Wednesday night in this capacity.

Miley has to pitch under these same conditions, but he has proven to be effective against the Rockies in the past. The Rockies are hitting just .239 with 2 home runs against Miley in 88 at-bats. He may not be able to neutralize the Rockies completely, but he’s shown the ability in prior starts to pitch well against them. Miley is coming off an impressive showing against the Mariners, allowing just 3 hits and 1-run in 6 innings of play. He’s not going to duplicate that, but I’m not remotely confident in Lambert to navigate through the Astros. There should be plenty of runs again, but that total looks pretty sharp. Consider selecting the Astros for one of your MLB picks on Wednesday.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.