I have been on a tear of late, going 18-3-2, and currently on an 8 game winning streak in MLB. If you have been following me on Twitter (@NFLSportsGeek), you may have gotten a little taste of those picks. I have primarily been an NFL handicapper at The Sports Geek for the past two seasons, but now I am looking to translate my baseball hot streak into success for you guys. Similar to Chris, I will post a pick or two a day. I’ll touch on money lines, run lines, totals, and even team totals. I do like the option of betting a team total, given the fact you do not have to sweat out a blown save from lackluster relievers. I am aware some of you don’t have the option of betting a team total at your books, so I’ll simply recommended betting a team total along with the official money line or run line play if I like it.
Keep in mind I will be writing the writeups in the early morning, so there may be discrepancies in the line you have when locking a bet in. Feel free to contact me on Twitter if you have any questions regarding changing lines or regarding anything else.
Free MLB Pick:
Houston Astros +201 at Colorado Rockies -220
Erik Bedard (0-2, 5.68 ERA) vs. Tyler Chatwood (3-0, 1.90 ERA)
The Colorado Rockies have been one heck of a roller coaster ride all season long. Up, down, and all the way around. I suppose that has been the story of the Rockies for the greater part of the last five years. They have some quality bats in the lineup, including Troy Tulowitzki, Carolos Gonzalez, and Michael Cuddyer. Without a doubt all have benefited from playing in the hitter friendly Coors Field. Nevertheless, the Rockies are susceptible to inexplicable droughts. If they are confronted with an ace, or have a halfway decent pitcher they look clueless. The Rockies are in the midst of a mini drought, dropping their last three games, two against the Giants and last night against the Astros. However, prior to that, they won 6 of out of 7 games. They will look to get back on track tonight against neither an ace nor halfway decent pitcher.
While the Rockies are up-and-down, the Astros are, well, at the bottom of the abyss. The ‘Stros are who we thought they were, though (enter Dennis Green rant). So, their 15-37 start hasn’t exactly shell shocked anyone. They do not do anything particularly well, offense is horrid, and their pitching is below average as well. While the Astros picked up the victory last night at Coors, the road has been a treacherous road for this bunch. At 6-16 they are the worst road team in MLB. Pitcher Erik Bedard hasn’t helped this cause at all, tossing a horrendous 8.83 ERA away from home. His OBP is also sitting at .412 in these spots. Bedard’s only quality road starts came against the Pirates and Mariners.
The Rockies will trot out Tyler Chatwood, a guy that has flourished this season after a poor 2012 campaign. In his last three starts he has sported a terrific ERA of 0.51. Those three games came against respectable offenses in the Giants (x2) and the Dodgers. He should continue his winning ways against an Astros’ team that will need a lights out performance from Bedard. I just don’t see that coming to fruition at Coors Field after the Astros managed to eek out a victory last night. The Rockies should snap their three game skid in convincing fashion Wednesday night. I do not normally like just taking big favorites on the RL, but when I do, it’s against the Astros.
Free Pick: Colorado Rockies -1.5 (-115)