Astros vs. Royals MLB Pick – September 15th

The Houston Astros are counting down the days until the postseason begins. They’re going to the postseason and it’s more than likely happening as winners of the AL West. Barring a major setback, the Astros will cruise to a divisional championship. The Athletics made it interesting for like a minute about a month ago and then the Astros took off. Last night, the Astros allowed the Royals to hang around before a 3-run 8th inning.

The Astros took a 5-1 and held on from there. They added some more runs in the top of the 9th to put the game out of reach. It’s their second win in a row after enduring a three-game losing streak against the Athletics. The Astros were losers in three out of four games in a struggle for the home team. Houston were looking bored out there, while the Athletics won three big games.

The Astros are going to be fine, but where they land in the postseason seeding is still a major question. It’s up for grabs in the American League and vs the Dodgers for homefield in the World Series, if they were to meet. The Yankees currently lead the American League and were able to knock off the Blue Jays in a big way to stay ahead of the ‘Stros yesterday. When the Astros and Yankees are playing their best, they’re both a hard out for any team.

Do the Astros want to play on Sunday afternoon against the Royals? Wade Miley has to want to play because some people are worried about him right now. Miley has been way off the mark recently, and that includes an awful performance against the lowly Mariners.

Miley is more of a finesse pitcher than a power arm, so if he’s not locating his spots, bad things tend to happen. He has stressed that he isn’t injured, but if he gets bombed again tonight, the Astros might want to take a closer look at him. Miley will be expected to find his rhythm again before October.

The Astros are counting on him to be a pivotal hurler in the postseason. Luis Severino is nearing his return to the Yankees, so the Astros cannot afford for Miley to have a mishap now. Head below for our free Astros vs. Royals pick.

Houston Astros vs. K.C. Royals Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Astros -230/Royals +195
  • O/U: 10

Pitching Matchup:

  • Wade Miley (13-5, 3.74 ERA)
  • Jakob Junis (9-13, 5.06 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Wade Miley will have to prove himself against the Royals this afternoon. He heads into this one with an ERA of 27.00 and 5.75 WHIP in his last three outings. That’s one of the ugliest stat lines you are going to find for a pitcher out there. Against the Mariners, Miley didn’t get out of the 1st inning. Actually, he didn’t even record an out, and was pulled after allowing 5 hits and 5 earned runs.

Thanks to the Astro offense, they still managed to win that game by a score of 11-9. The Astros can win high-scoring shootouts or low-scoring duels, which certainly makes then a dangerous club. In any event, Miley had a chance to bounce back against the Athletics and it was more of the same. He was unable to get out of the 1st inning and was pulled after allowing 7 hits and 7 earned runs after record just 1 out. You would think that the Royals would present a nice opportunity to get his confidence back.

However, the Royals have given Miley trouble in previous starts. They are hitting .375 OBP and .429 OBP while scoring 6 runs in 32 plate appearances. So, there’s certainly no guarantees that this can be a confidence building outing for Miley. Jakob Junis has been even worst against the Astros, though, so expect Miley to get ample run support in this contest.

The ‘Stros have torched Junis for a .406 batting average and .452 OBP. They’ve hit 6 home runs and 17 home runs on Junis in 64 at-bats. Junis enters with an ERA of 6.50 and 1.39 WHIP in his previous three contests. He’s also been off at home, where he’s posted a 5.53 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 94.1 innings. If Miley holds up, the Astros are still likely to hammer Junis on Sunday afternoon. Expect to see more than 10 runs on the board to put this one OVER the total.

The Bet
OVER 10
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.