Athletics vs. Twins MLB Pick – July 18th

That was some kind of dumpster fire for the Minnesota Twins against the New York Mets in their interleague meeting. The Twins were losers in both games, with the Mets winning by scores of 3-2 and 14-4. It was their third straight loss after a 4-3 loss Sunday against the Indians.

The Twins are leaving a crack open in the AL Central to allow the Indians to crawl back into the divisional hunt. Don’t look now, but they’re suddenly only for games back. It looked like the Twins were running away with this thing with about a double-digit lead over the Indians.

As we say, though, a lot can change in a hurry when it comes to Major League Baseball. Four games isn’t much with the time we have left in the season. It wouldn’t surprise all too much if the Indians do race back to steal the AL Central by the end of the regular season.

They were half asleep for the first two months of the season and decided to get serious thereafter. This is without Corey Kluber and Carlos Carrasco, so kudos to them for fighting through two blows. The emergence of Shane Bieber and Zach Plesac has more than helped soften the blow, though.

Kluber is beginning to throw bullpen sessions and the Indians are going to have to remove someone who is currently in the rotation. Adam Plutko looks like the logical choice, as his 5.40 ERA is way off from the rest of the group. It’s a good problem to have for the Tribe.

Plutko might come in handy in the postseason if they do in fact reach. Enough arms in the bullpen is never a bad thing when it comes to October baseball. He’s gotten some valuable experience through this. The Twins welcome an Athletics squad who are on fire. They are on a six-game winning streak following an impressive 10-2 win yesterday.

The A’s are also winners in seven of their previous eight games to put them in a tie with the Indians for the final wildcard. Mike Fiers and Kyle Gibson will duel it out on the bump in this one for the A’s and Twins. Head below for our free Athletics vs. Twins pick.

Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Twins -137/Athletics +117
  • O/U: 10.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Mike Fiers (9-3, 3.61 ERA)
  • Kyle Gibson (8-4, 4.03 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Kyle Gibson’s career has been all over the map. From a guy who hitters loved to knock around to a competent pitcher some seasons. Gibson posted an ERA of 5.07 in 2016 and 2017. This after a 3.84 ERA in 2015. Last season Gibson got back to 2015 mode, as he was proficient with an ERA of 3.62. He has avoided flirting with a 5.00 ERA again this season, so that might be in the past for now.

Gibson has been at his best most recently, with an ERA of 2.53 in his previous three outings. The seven-year veteran has allowed just 3 runs in his last four appearences. Oakland have hit 2 home runs with 7 runs scored on 65 at-bats. Gibson also gets to pitch at home in this one, where he has been a better hurler. He holds an ERA of 3.69 ERA and 1.04 WHIP as opposed to a 4.33 ERA and 1.46 WHIP on the road.

Mike Fiers has to beware for C.J. Cron and Miguel Sano in this contest. Between the two of them, they’ve hit 5 long balls against Fiers for 8 RBI’s. Cron recently made his return off the IL along with Eddie Rosario. Neither did anything against the Mets, but they will likely look better with some of the rust shaken off here. Fiers hasn’t exactly been a great pitcher on the road this season. He’s posted an ERA of 5.03 in 48.1 innings away from home. Fiers has surrendered 9 home runs compared to just 6 in Oakland.

He has been pitching extremely well lately, but note that four of his previous five starts have come at home. After the Twins flopped against the Mets, and the A’s come into Minnesota feeling hot, this looks like a good scenario for a letdown spot for the Athletics on the road. They are just a 24-21 team on the road, while the Twins are 28-16 at home. The Twins should be the play here.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.