Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick – September 14, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Touki Toussaint (0-1, 7.89 ERA) vs. Jorge Lopez (1-0, 6.38 ERA)

The Atlanta Braves and Baltimore Orioles will get a three-game interleague series underway at Camden Yards on Monday. The Braves closed out their four-game series against the Washington Nationals on Sunday with an 8-4 win. They were winners in three out of four games against the Nationals. The offense was sharp for three days, with 22 runs scored in three outings.

In the other game, Ian Anderson was responsible for the win, as he went wild through 7 innings. Anderson struck out nine batters and gave up just 1 hit. There wasn’t a run on the board when Anderson was on the hill. They ran into a wall with Patrick Corbin dicing the offense up on the other side, but fortunately Anderson was on fire. The Braves head into Monday with a record of 28-19 and the lead in the NL East.

The Marlins, of all teams, is the closest team in the division. They’re 3.5 games behind the Braves and might have a puncher’s chance to steal the NL East. Keep in mind that there’s only two weeks left in the regular season. Just like that the season is going to be over in Major League Baseball. It feels as if we’re only getting started. I’m not really considering these early play-in games as postseason matchups, so there’s that.

The Dodgers are up in the National League with a record of 33-14. They have to look out for the San Diego Padres who are quickly catching up, though. Fernando Tatis Jr. and the Padres are within reach now with only a 2.5-game deficit. Even if the Padres don’t win the division, they are going to the postseason and going to be a dangerous threat to any team they play.

Baltimore has been playing adequate baseball this season. For a team many believed was going to be the worst in the league, they’ve been solid enough with a record of 20-26. This is a club that went 54-108 a season ago, so I’d say this season has been a win for the O’s. They’ve shown some promise at least.

Touki Toussaint gets the call back up to the major leagues after getting sent down to the training site. We’ll see if that helps any. The Orioles are expected to counter with Jorge Lopez. Head below for our free Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles pick for September 14, 2020.

Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Braves -1.5 (-110)
  • Orioles +1.5 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • Braves (-160)
  • Orioles (+148)
Total:

  • Over 10.5 (+105)
  • Under 10.5 (-125)

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Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction:

The Braves are hoping that Touki Touissant learned a thing or two down at the Braves’ training site. His slider just wasn’t working for him and it has to be No. 1 on his areas to improve. Leaving juicy sliders over the plate was a recipe for disaster for Toussaint and he paid for it. It’s going to take a little more time for 24-year-old Touissant to master his slider, but if he stops giving up meatballs to hit over the plate then that’ll be a start.

Toussaint goes into Monday with an ERA of 7.89 and 1.52 WHIP. He’s made a couple of appearances out of the bullpen and four a starting pitcher. Neither assignment went particularly well. As a starting pitcher, Touissant posted an ERA of 6.11 through four starts. In his most recent outing, he was tagged for 2 hits and 1 earned run in 1.1 innings on August 23 against the Phillies.

This was after Touissant was smashed for 9 earned runs through 7 innings in his previous two performances. Going into Baltimore, Touissant owns an ERA of 10.80, 2.04 WHIP, and .444 OBA in his last three tilts. His effort on the road has been a disaster compared to at home in Atlanta.

Toussaint has been below average with an ERA of 4.80 and 1.47 WHIP through 15 innings at home, and then on the road, he notched a 14.85 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in 6.2 innings. Toussaint hasn’t lasted long in when he’s appeared on the road. This is a big start for him on the road at Camden Yards. Another bad performance would be concerning for the O’s.

If it doesn’t end well on Monday night for Toussaint, he might still be able to get out of the game with a win. Jorge Lopez presents a hittable scenario for the Braves’ offense. Lopez has struggled through his five-year career. The 27-year-old has been unable to stick in a rotation, and he’s doing nothing to improve his odds for 2021.

Lopez goes into tonight with an ERA of 6.38 and 1.33 WHIP in seven games and 24 innings. Through 24 innings he’s given up 24 hits and 17 earned runs. It’s pretty well on par compared to his career, which spans across 66 games. Lopez has a 5.95 ERA and 1.49 WHIP through 213.1 innings of work. The total is in the higher range at 10.5, but the OVER at plus money looks attractive at Camden Yards. It might just take one of these starting pitchers to get hammered to put the final score OVER the total.

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The Bet
OVER 10.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.