Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Pick – MLB August 6, 2022

The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets continue their marquee series at Citi Field on Saturday with a doubleheader. This is the biggest series of the weekend. The San Diego Padres and LA Dodgers might have more flash, but the Braves and Mets have a division to decide.

The Braves and Mets took turns winning over the last two days. The Mets started off with a 6-4 win and the Braves responded with a 9-6 victory.

Ian Anderson didn’t have a strong performance on the mound, but Taijuan Walker was terrible. Walker allowed 7 hits and 8 earned runs in a horrid performance. His ERA went from 2.75 to 3.45 in one start.

Anderson was backed by solid run support after conceding 7 hits and 4 earned runs in 4.2 innings.

Credit the offense for coming through with a winning performance because the pitching wasn’t working for Anderson. Usually, they would have lost a game like that last night. With the win, the Braves get a game back to 3.5 games behind the Mets.

The Mets are still in control of the Braves at 67-39. Since the Braves came back from a double-digit deficit, they’ve been stuck around three games back. The Mets have done a fine job holding them off.

It’s going to be tough on the Braves now that Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer are back in the rotation. Scherzer is scheduled to handle the starting duties for the Mets, while Max Fried is expected for the Braves.

Note that this is the second of a doubleheader on Saturday. With a sweep on Saturday, the Braves could pull up right next to the Mets by the end of the day. Head below for our free Braves vs. Mets prediction on August 6, 2022.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets (Game 2) Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Atlanta Braves +1.5 (-200) +108 Over 7 (-110)
New York Mets -1.5 (+170) -130 Under 7 (-110)
Team Data Atlanta Braves New York Mets
Overall Record 64-43 67-39
Away/Home Record 27-21 32-18
Batting Average .250 .258
Batting Average Away/Home .242 .250
Runs Per 9 4.82 4.80
Team ERA 3.62 3.62
Team ERA Away/Home 3.80 3.40

Braves vs. Mets Prediction:

This looks like a quality pitching matchup on paper in the nightcap of the doubleheader. Max Scherzer gets the call at home in a big start against the Braves.

It’s unlikely, but Scherzer is on the map for another Cy Young in 2022.

He has three Cy Young awards and is a dark horse for another in 2022. Scherzer is going into tonight with an ERA of 2.13 and a 0.92 WHIP in 14 starts. For his fourth Cy Young, he’ll pretty well need to be perfect down the stretch to catch Sandy Alcantara.

You pretty well know what you’re going to get from Scherzer when he’s on the bump. This season is another instance of him being consistent.

In his previous three starts, Scherzer owns an ERA of 1.83 and a 1.07 WHIP. At Citi Field, he’s posted a 2.09 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 2022.

The Braves are hitting .198 vs Scherzer across 169 at-bats.

Scherzer has been comfortable at home, with an ERA of 2.09 and a 0.91 WHIP in 38.2 innings of work. We should expect him to be in good shape on the hill tonight.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 2-5 overall in their previous seven games versus the NL East
  • 2-5 overall in their previous seven games versus a team with a winning record
  • UNDER is 15-6 in their previous 21 games on a Saturday
  • UNDER is 13-6 in their previous 19 games versus a starter with a WHIP better than 1.15
  • UNDER is 4-0-1 in Max Fried’s previous five starts in the fourth game of a series


  • Record (Last 10): 8-2
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus a team with a winning record
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games at home
  • UNDER is 3-0-1 in their previous four games
  • UNDER is 3-0-1 in their fourth game of a series
  • UNDER is 43-21-5 in their previous 69 second games of a doubleheader

  • Max Fried offers a nice counter to Scherzer in this start. He doesn’t have the accolades that Scherzer owns, but the lefty can hang with Mad Max tonight.

    Fried owns an ERA of 2.58 and a 1.07 WHIP through 21 starts.

    His arm hasn’t failed him on the road as well, where Fried has recorded a 2.73 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. Note that Fried hasn’t lost a start on the road thus far this season.

    He hasn’t been intimidated by this lineup. The Mets are hitting .185 vs Fried across 141 at-bats. Both starting pitchers have a long sample size against these offenses.

    The bats have been awake in the first two games of these series. However, I believe that changes with Fried and Scherzer in the doubleheader on Saturday night. This looks like a 3-2 or 4-2 final at Citi Field.


    Braves vs. Mets Pick
    UNDER 7
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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