Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees Pick – MLB April 21, 2021

The Atlanta Braves and New York Yankees are scheduled to meet at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday evening. The Yankees got off to a good start on Tuesday, as Jameson Taillon tossed a gem with 1 earned run allowed through 5 innings. Atlanta is a tough matchup, but Taillon handled them well, which is exactly what the Yankees needed. Taillon was struggling and he appeared to get out of his rut last night at home against the Braves.

The bullpen was sharp, too, as the Yankees’ relievers went 4 innings with just 2 hits and no runs conceded. Despite the win, it’s been a slow start for the Yankees this season. They advanced to 6-10 on the season with the victory over the Braves to get this short two-game interleague series. For the Braves, it’s been a slow start out of the gate for them, too. The Braves are 7-10 on the season in a year where they have a lot of expectations.

They are 2.5 games behind the New York Mets for the lead in the NL East. No one has been in a groove thus far in the division, so there shouldn’t be any concerns for the Braves at this point in the season. The Braves are likely going to get hot at some point this season. When the weather heats up, there are some teams that will heat up with the temperatures. April is a time for people to overreact to slow and fast starts.

With Taillon coming off a strong performance, the Yankees are hoping that Corey Kluber comes around now. Taillon was struggling before that outing, and Kluber is having issues of his own going into Wednesday evening at Yankee Stadium. Kluber hasn’t been in fine form since 2018 when he posted an ERA of 2.89 with the Cleveland Indians. He lasted just seven starts the next season, and pitched just one inning in 2020. Kluber suffered a fractured forearm and an oblique strain in 2019 which has set him back considerably.

Ian Anderson is expected to counter for the Braves. He’s been roughed up to open the 2021 campaign against the Marlins and Phillies. Anderson was brilliant in six starts as a rookie last season, but it can often be a work-in-progress for some young pitchers after finding success right away. Once teams see your arsenal on the hill, it can be easier for hitters against inexperienced hurlers. Head below for our free Braves vs. Yankees pick on April 21, 2021.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Braves +1.5 (-175)
  • Yankees -1.5 (+155)
Moneyline:

  • Braves +115
  • Yankees -125
Total:

  • Over 9 (+100)
  • Under 9 (-120)

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Braves vs. Yankees Prediction:

There are thunderstorms in the forecast on Wednesday, but note that this is supposed to clear up before Wednesday evening. It should not impact getting this game in, especially because it’s an early first pitch at 6:35 p.m. EST. They can push the game back if need be. It won’t matter either way if Corey Kluber can’t pull back the clocks and pitch like it’s 2018. Kluber had his worst season in the majors in 2019, as he posted an ERA of 5.80 and 1.65 WHIP. Keep in mind that his struggles weren’t because of a lingering injury.

He was pitching badly that season, and then insult to injury, was nailed with a line drive to his forearm. Through three outings in 2021, there has been no indication that Kluber is back to form. Kluber has conceded 16 hits and 7 earned runs in 10.1 innings of play against the Blue Jays twice and the Rays. In his most recent showing, the Blue Jays feasted on Kluber for 2 home runs in 4 innings to bring his ERA up to 6.10 this season.

The Braves are seventh in the majors with an average of 5.03 runs per 9 innings. And they can be better than what we’ve seen so far from the Braves. The offense can easily jump up into the top-5 once they heat up. That said, the power game is still working for the Braves despite a bit of a slow start. They are second in the major leagues with 1.53 home runs per game.

After struggling to score on Tuesday night, I can see them bouncing back with a better performance against Kluber, who has looked like he is pitching with a dead arm.Ian Anderson was hot to open his career with a 1.95 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. That was a nice effort, including in the postseason where Anderson had a 0.96 ERA in two starts. His work in spring training was sloppy, though, and he hasn’t been in the same shape as last season in the regular season.

Anderson notched a 6.38 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in spring training. Opponents hit .324 against Anderson. In the regular season, he’s registered a 4.70 ERA and 1.43 WHIP through 15.1 innings. If Anderson doesn’t go long tonight, he hands the ball over to a struggling bullpen. Overall, the Braves are 28th in the majors with 5.28 runs against per 9 innings. The OVER at even money looks like good value.

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Our Bet
OVER 9
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.