Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees Pick – MLB August 11, 2020

    Touki Toussaint (0-0, 6.08 ERA) vs. Jordan Montgomery (1-1, 5.59 ERA)

The Atlanta Braves and New York Yankees will take to the diamond at Yankee Stadium for the first game of a brief two-game series. The Yankees both had Monday off to prepare for Tuesday, while the Braves nearly came back from a 13-1 hole in the ninth against the Phillies. Down 13-1, the Braves cut the lead to 13-8 and then were finally stopped from doing more damage.

The Yanks are coming off a 4-3 loss against Charlie Morton and the Rays on Sunday. James Paxton showed flashes of solid form, so that was the positive, but the offense didn’t come to help out. It was the second straight day that the Yankees’ offense fell silent. They were shutout by Blake Snell and the Rays’ bullpen the day before losing 4-3.

The Yankees head into Tuesday with three straight losses, which includes a loss against the Phillies and two against the Rays. Normally I would say that’s nothing to worry about, but in a 60-game season, the Yankees and others can’t afford to let a dry spell drag on. If the bad effort carries over into this week, then the Yankees are going to suffer a pretty significant ding in their record. In a full season that’s very manageable, but it’s hard to make back up when there’s only 60 games in the regular season.

They enter Tuesday with a record of 10-6 for a 1.5-game advantage in the AL East. This looks like a two-team race between the Rays and Yankees. That’s one thing when it comes to cold runs. The Yankees likely don’t have to be perfect to win the division when there isn’t much competition. There are the Rays and then not much else. The Boston Red Sox who are usual contenders are not going anywhere. They’re 6-10 and even before the season started it was predictable that the Red Sox were going to have issues.

The Orioles might be the biggest surprise of the AL East. They are 7-7 and are two games behind the Yankees. The O’s have been making something of the season so far despite not having a realistic chance at winning the division. Atlanta are 11-7 in the NL East and effectively lead right now.

The Marlins have only played ten games for a record of 7-3, so it’s hard to assess them. The competition has been weak thus far. Washington is not the same team as last season. That makes it easier on the Braves, who haven’t had to worry about the Phillies yet either. Head below for our free Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees pick for August 11, 2020.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Braves +1.5 (-135)
  • Yankees -1.5 (+115)
Moneyline:

  • Braves (+148)
  • Yankees (-160)
Total Points:

  • Over 10 (-110)
  • Under 10 (-110)

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Atlanta Braves vs. NY Yankees Prediction:

The Braves are hoping to get something out of Touki Toussaint this season, but early indications aren’t that great for Toussaint. As a member of the bullpen in the most work he’s gotten in his career, the 24-year-old posted an ERA of 5.62 and 1.68 WHIP in 24 appearances. He only made one outing as a starter.

With depth a concern for their bullpen, Toussaint was inserted into the starting rotation for 2020. Toussaint has been off to a rocky start, with an ERA of 6.08 in three games through 13.1 innings of play. He’s allowed 12 hits and 9 earned runs so far this season. That must change for Toussaint as we get deeper into the season.

In his most recent performance, Toussaint allowed 4 hits and 3 earned runs in 6.2 innings against the Blue Jays. He has to be a little more clutch and learn to limit long balls in clutch spots with runners on. Runs can add up in a hurry when multiple runners are crossing the plate after a home run. Toussaint has given up a home run in two out of his three outings in the majors this season.

The Yankees have been fast asleep at the dish, but I think this is a nice spot for them to bounce back and get the bats working. Jordan Montgomery will keep his fingers crossed for big run support from his teammates. It wasn’t present over the weekend, but the Yankees could explode at any moment. Montgomery is coming off a poor showing against the Phillies. He was tagged for 6 hits and 4 earned runs in 4 innings of work.

This was after handling the Red Sox well, but how much of a test are they really this season? The Red Sox don’t have the dangerous offense that we’ve typically been accustomed to over the last two decades. Overall in his career, the Braves are hitting .556 with a .611 OBP versus Montgomery in 9 at-bats. I could see plenty of runs up on the board in this one. A sleepy Yankees’ offense should wake up after a day off, but the Braves will likely have their say at the plate after catching fire in the ninth on Monday. I’m on the OVER at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday night.

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OVER 10
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.