The Atlanta Braves responded nicely last night after barely holding on for a 5-4 win on Thursday. Washington made it interesting in the 9th, but didn’t have enough to erase a 5-2 deficit. The Braves allow the Nationals to get that close last night.
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) July 16, 2022
They opened up a 4-0 lead in the 2nd and then a 6-0 game following the 5th inning. The Nats added 3 runs in the button of the 9th to make the score look better, but the Braves would go back to the hotel with an 8-4 win.
There’s a lot of baseball left to be played. The big question is whether the Mets can stay healthy on the mound. That’s a big if for a team that only seems to find the injury bug at the wrong time.
Having said that, the Braves are probably the better all-around club. They started slow and suffered from a hangover early on. Atlanta is well past that phase this season.
The Nationals dropped to 30-62 with the loss. They’re in the basement of the NL East and aren’t going to get out of it in 2022. The Nats are 15.5 games behind the Marlins for fourth in the division.
Max Fried is up next in the rotation for the Braves. The lefty gets the call for his 18th start of the season. Everything is going well, with Fried on track to break a career-high in a complete schedule. Paolo Espino is expected to counter for the Nationals.
Get our free Braves vs. Nationals prediction for July 16, 2022, below.
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Live Betting Odds:
|Atlanta Braves||-1.5 (-150)||-250||Over 8.5 (-120)|
|Washington Nationals||+1.5 (+130)||+205||Under 8.5 (+100)|
|Team Data||Atlanta Braves||Washington Nationals|
|Batting Average Away/Home||.242||.236|
|Runs Per 9||4.79||3.88|
|Team ERA Away/Home||3.48||4.62|
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction:
Max Fried will look to stay hot at Nationals Park after cutting up the St. Louis Cardinals in his last start. Fried was in Cy Young form, as he went 6 innings with no runs allowed in a 3-0 win. He was coming off a strong performance against the Reds, with 7 innings and 1 earned run allowed.
The left-handed 28-year-old posted an ERA of 1.37 and a 0.92 WHIP in 21.1 innings on the bump. The best accomplishment during this run was that Friend didn’t give up a home run.
As a visiting starter, Fried has recorded an ERA of 2.27 and a 0.76 WHIP. Against the 27th scoring offense in the majors, he should be in for another big performance.
He’s also held the Nationals to a team batting average of .210. This doesn’t seem like it will be a big day for the Nats at the plate.
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Betting Trends:
- Record (Last 10): 7-3
- 14-4 overall in their previous 18 games on the road
- 16-5 overall in their previous 21 games on a Saturday
- 13-3 overall in their previous 16 games versus a team with a winning percentage worse than 40%
- 10-0 overall in their previous ten games at Washington
- 8-0 overall in their previous eight games versus the Nationals
- Record (Last 10): 1-9
- 1-6 overall in their previous seven games versus a left-handed starter
- 13-44 overall in their previous 57 games versus a team with a winning record
- 0-8 overall in their previous eight games
- 0-9 overall in their previous nine games at home
- 0-8 overall in their previous eight games versus the Braves
Paolo Espino will be tasked with keeping the Nationals around in this one. If his recent performances are any indicator, Espino will not have a good time.
In his second full-time role in the major leagues, Espino has looked good and improving on his 4.27 ERA from last season. However, he’s recently struggling to get out of innings, with velocity falling on his fastball.
I’m forecasting a multi-run win for the Braves, as they continue to put more pressure on the Mets. Look for the Braves to win and cover the runline.