Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Pick – MLB July 16, 2022

The Atlanta Braves responded nicely last night after barely holding on for a 5-4 win on Thursday. Washington made it interesting in the 9th, but didn’t have enough to erase a 5-2 deficit. The Braves allow the Nationals to get that close last night.

They opened up a 4-0 lead in the 2nd and then a 6-0 game following the 5th inning. The Nats added 3 runs in the button of the 9th to make the score look better, but the Braves would go back to the hotel with an 8-4 win.

The Mets were inactive last night, with the Braves gaining a half-game following the victory. In their latest outing, they beat the Cubs 8-0 after a 7-3 win over the Braves.

There’s a lot of baseball left to be played. The big question is whether the Mets can stay healthy on the mound. That’s a big if for a team that only seems to find the injury bug at the wrong time.

Jacob deGrom is nearing a return, which will gives the Mets a formidable 1-2 punch with Max Scherzer.

Having said that, the Braves are probably the better all-around club. They started slow and suffered from a hangover early on. Atlanta is well past that phase this season.

The Nationals dropped to 30-62 with the loss. They’re in the basement of the NL East and aren’t going to get out of it in 2022. The Nats are 15.5 games behind the Marlins for fourth in the division.

Max Fried is up next in the rotation for the Braves. The lefty gets the call for his 18th start of the season. Everything is going well, with Fried on track to break a career-high in a complete schedule. Paolo Espino is expected to counter for the Nationals.

Get our free Braves vs. Nationals prediction for July 16, 2022, below.

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-150) -250 Over 8.5 (-120)
Washington Nationals +1.5 (+130) +205 Under 8.5 (+100)
Team Data Atlanta Braves Washington Nationals
Overall Record 54-37 30-61
Away/Home Record 23-17 14-34
Batting Average .248 .249
Batting Average Away/Home .242 .236
Runs Per 9 4.79 3.88
Team ERA 3.57 5.13
Team ERA Away/Home 3.48 4.62

Braves vs. Nationals Prediction:

Max Fried will look to stay hot at Nationals Park after cutting up the St. Louis Cardinals in his last start. Fried was in Cy Young form, as he went 6 innings with no runs allowed in a 3-0 win. He was coming off a strong performance against the Reds, with 7 innings and 1 earned run allowed.

Fried has conceded 1 or fewer earned runs in six of his previous eight starts.

The left-handed 28-year-old posted an ERA of 1.37 and a 0.92 WHIP in 21.1 innings on the bump. The best accomplishment during this run was that Friend didn’t give up a home run.

In fact, Fried has yielded only 6 home runs all season. On the road away from Truist Park, he’s been incredibly impressive with only 1 long ball conceded in 41.1 innings.

As a visiting starter, Fried has recorded an ERA of 2.27 and a 0.76 WHIP. Against the 27th scoring offense in the majors, he should be in for another big performance.

True to form, Fried hasn’t allowed a home run in 145 at-bats vs the Nationals.

He’s also held the Nationals to a team batting average of .210. This doesn’t seem like it will be a big day for the Nats at the plate.

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 14-4 overall in their previous 18 games on the road
  • 16-5 overall in their previous 21 games on a Saturday
  • 13-3 overall in their previous 16 games versus a team with a winning percentage worse than 40%
  • 10-0 overall in their previous ten games at Washington
  • 8-0 overall in their previous eight games versus the Nationals


  • Record (Last 10): 1-9
  • 1-6 overall in their previous seven games versus a left-handed starter
  • 13-44 overall in their previous 57 games versus a team with a winning record
  • 0-8 overall in their previous eight games
  • 0-9 overall in their previous nine games at home
  • 0-8 overall in their previous eight games versus the Braves

  • Paolo Espino will be tasked with keeping the Nationals around in this one. If his recent performances are any indicator, Espino will not have a good time.

    Espino goes to the bump with an ERA of 7.50 and a 1.67 WHIP in his previous three starts.

    In his second full-time role in the major leagues, Espino has looked good and improving on his 4.27 ERA from last season. However, he’s recently struggling to get out of innings, with velocity falling on his fastball.

    The Braves have scored plenty against Espino, with this lineup notching 14 RBIs and 6 home runs in 65 at-bats. There are six hitters on the roster better than .400 versus Espino. Expect the Braves to be in control at Nationals Park.

    I’m forecasting a multi-run win for the Braves, as they continue to put more pressure on the Mets. Look for the Braves to win and cover the runline.


    Braves vs. Nationals Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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