Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick – September 24, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Alex Cobb (1-5, 4.76 ERA) vs. Martin Perez (3-4, 3.88 ERA)

The Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox will wrap up a three-game series on Thursday at Fenway Park. The Red Sox blasted the Orioles for the second straight day by a score of 9-1. This after the Red Sox won easily by a score of 8-3 the night before. No one saw the Orioles getting into the postseason in 2020, and they won’t be going, but there were some promising signs early on.

For a week or two, the O’s were playing like they belong this season. They don’t want to collapse completely in the final week and finish things out on a losing note. Right now it looks like the Orioles are already counting down the days until this season is done. They know that they’re not going to the postseason, and already have their eyes focused on the offseason.

It’s hard to stay focused when there’s nothing to play for, but the Orioles have to keep their composure to try to find some momentum going into next season. That’s what it feels like the Red Sox are doing. The Red Sox have no chance of going to the playoffs, but they’re still battling hard. They enter Thursday with a record of 22-34 and 14.5 games behind the Rays.

The Rays are the winners of the AL East for the first time since 2010 and the third time in franchise history. If we played out a full season, it’s likely the Yankees overtake the Rays if they were healthy. In any case, this season is going in the books as legitimate, so no one can take the AL East title away from them. As far as the Orioles and Red Sox are concerned, they are competing to avoid dead last in the division.

One team seems to care, while the other has thrown in the towel for the last week. The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games going into Thursday. Eventually pride might kick in and want to win a game or two before the season closes. Alex Cobb will be assigned the start tonight at Fenway. The former Ray has been in a funk recently, but we’ll see if a meeting against the Red Sox helps. Head below for our free Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox pick for September 24, 2020.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Orioles +1.5 (-145)
  • Red Sox -1.5 (+125)
Moneyline:

  • Orioles (+130)
  • Red Sox (-141)
Total:

  • Over 9.5 (-105)
  • Under 9.5 (-115)

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction:

Alex Cobb is looking to get into a groove at Fenway tonight. He’s looking to close out the season strong after running into trouble recently. Cobb goes into this one with an ERA of 7.07 and 1.79 WHIP through his last three outings. He’s conceded 11 earned runs in his last 14 innings on the bump. The Red Sox bats have been hot, so that could be a problem for the Orioles on Thursday.

They’ve scored 17 runs on the Orioles over the last two days and could be set to do more damage against Cobb. The Red Sox hitters have nailed Cobb over the course of 114 at-bats. They’re hitting a staggering .403 with a .455 against Cobb in that time. If Cobb was looking to get back on track, the Red Sox probably aren’t the team to do it against.

This 2020 version of the Red Sox isn’t the scariest lineup, but they’ve been able to figure something out about Cobb apparently. They also get Cobb on the road in this matchup, where he’s been at his worst. Cobb owns an ERA of 5.79 and 1.45 WHIP on the road as opposed to a 4.05 ERA and 1.31 WHIP at home. The Red Sox should be able to keep their bats rolling on Thursday night.

The O’s have had decent power numbers versus Martin Perez in his career. They’ve connected for 4 home runs and 12 RBI against Perez through 63 at-bats. There are five players on the Orioles that are hitting better than .300 against Perez. Overall in 2020, Perez has posted a respectable ERA of 3.88 and 1.26 WHIP. He’s been slightly worse off at Fenway, with an ERA of 4.26 through 27.2 innings. There should be an opportunity for runs for both sides in this one.

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The Bet
OVER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.