Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Pick – MLB July 26, 2020

    Wade LeBlanc (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Ryan Weber (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

The Baltimore Orioles responded for a big victory on Saturday to force a rubber-match this afternoon. The Orioles pounded the Red Sox for a 7-2 win behind a 3-run 1st inning. They added a couple of more runs in the 2nd to get to Martin Perez early. Perez was able to settle down and not give up another run across 5 innings, though the damage was already done. The Orioles rode the hot start to a 7-2 victory. That should give the Orioles some confidence going into Sunday. It was a standout performance by Alex Cobb, as he yielded just 4 hits and 1 earned run across 5.1 innings of work.

Cobb has talent, but his career went upside down after a serious injury with the Rays in 2015. When Cobb is healthy, he can be a nice contributor. The Orioles might have a nice trade chip on their hands if Cobb can show he’s healthy enough to get through a 60-day schedule and postseason. The Orioles are rebuilding and a 32-year-old pitcher with a history of injuries probably doesn’t fit into their long-term plans. However, a move to acquire some prospects from a postseason team might be a great angle to take.

It was an encouraging performance by the Orioles on Saturday, but this is still a squad in a transitioning phase. Unfortunately, the Orioles are handcuffed with the Chris Davis’ contract, so shipping him out is not possible. That holds back their rebuilding process a bit. Manny Machado was tradable when he was packaged in a deal with the Los Angeles Dodgers. However, Davis isn’t going anywhere because of what he’s being paid. Even if he was cheaper, there aren’t many teams who would want a guy who does nothing but strikeout with no power. He went from being one of the most feared hitters to an easy out.

The Red Sox scored a couple of 6th inning runs, but that was all from the Red Sox offense on Saturday. Mitch Moreland and Kevin Plawecki were the only Sox to record RBI’s. It was a slow day at the office for the Red Sox at the dish after they peppered the Orioles with 13 runs on Opening Day. Journeyman Wade LeBlanc will get the starting nod for the Orioles in the rubber-match on Sunday. Ryan Weber gets the nod for the Red Sox. This is the first time he’s been part of a rotation on Opening Day. Head below for our free Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox pick for July 26, 2020 in MLB.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Orioles +1.5 (-105)
  • Red Sox -1.5 (-115)
Moneyline:

  • Orioles (+180)
  • Red Sox (-210)
Total Points:

  • Over 11 (-105)
  • Under 11 (-115)

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction:

Wade LeBlanc has been around the major leagues. He’s with his eight team in his 11-year career, which has seen plenty of ups and downs. From a career-high ERA as a full-time performer in 2018 with the Mariners, to a punching bag last season. That was enough for the Mariners, as LeBlanc had to look elsewhere for a new team. LeBlanc posted a very respectable ERA of 3.72 and 1.18 WHIP two years ago.

Whatever energy he had then was gone last season. LeBlanc posted an ERA of 5.71 and 1.45 WHIP in 2019, with the success he experienced the previous season evaporated quickly. J.D. Martinez has been a thorn in the side of LeBlanc throughout his career. Martinez is hitting .545 with 2 home runs against LeBlanc in 11 at-bats.

29-year-old Ryan Weber is finally getting attention at the start of the year. After being passed over several times in the past on Opening Day, Weber made the Red Sox roster and will make the earliest start of his career in the majors. Just three games in, the Red Sox will turn to Weber on the hill. Weber mostly worked out of the bullpen last season and got three spot starts. In 18 appearances, Weber posted an ERA of 5.09 and 1.37 WHIP.That’s consistent with Weber’s output throughout his five-year major league career. Weber has an ERA of 5.04 and 1.29 WHIP in 42 games, 11 of which were starts.

He has a record of 3-9 in his career, which started back in 2015 with the Atlanta Braves. This is the best opportunity that Weber has had in his career. Let’s see if he makes the most of it, but I’m not overly confident in his 2020 debut. That said, look for Weber to get ample run support against LeBlanc. The OVER priced at -105 at Bovada looks like a good deal on Sunday.

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OVER 11
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.