Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Pick – MLB May 30, 2022

The Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox close out a five-game series at Fenway Park on Memorial Day. It feels like they’ve been playing forever because this is a five-game series with a doubleheader on Saturday.

The Orioles opened this tilt with a 12-8 win on Friday night. This was an entertaining game that saw the O’s complete a feverous comeback. They scored 10 runs in the final three innings to come back from an 8-2 deficit for a win.

That’s a game you can’t lose if you’re the Red Sox. A 8-2 lead going into the 7th against the Orioles? For a team looking to steal a wildcard this season, it’s a loss that could hurt them later in the season.

The Red Sox took a split with the Orioles in the doubleheader. They responded in the afternoon with a 5-3 win, but dropped the nightly affair with a 4-2 loss.

There was no doubt on Sunday afternoon, with the Red Sox recording a 12-2 win. This time they didn’t blow things late. The Red Sox poured it on for 5 runs in the bottom of the 8th.

The Red Sox are a 23-25 team going into Monday night.

They’re only ahead of the Orioles in the AL East. The Yankees have a ten-game advantage on the Orioles going into Monday. They are the team to beat, but the Blue Jays and Rays have a lot of runway left this season.

The Red Sox don’t have the best numbers on paper. Their offense rates as one of the better units in the majors. However, they still don’t have the record to back them up.

Veteran Rich Hill is scheduled to have the green light for the Red Sox tonight. It might not be the same as Tom Brady, but Hill is another Michigan man that doesn’t want to stop play. The 42-year-old is still going strong.

Head below for our free Orioles vs. Red Sox prediction on May 30, 2022.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-135) +141 Over 10 (-110)
Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+115) -170 Under 10 (-110)
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Team Data Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox
Overall Record 20-29 23-25
Away/Home Record 8-18 12-12
Batting Average .226 .258
Batting Average Away/Home .220 .270
Runs Per 9 3.67 4.91
Team ERA 4.10 3.91
Team ERA Away/Home 5.11 4.15

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction:

The Orioles are sending Tyler Wells to the bump at Fenway Park tonight. Wells is in his second go-around in the majors, though his first as a member of the rotation. The Orioles gave Wells work out of the bullpen as a rookie.

Not a bad move to give Wells the experience as a reliever in a wasted season for the Orioles. Their pitching staff has been in the gutter over the last few years, so at least it allowed the Orioles to give a young pitcher like him an opportunity for experience.

Wells finished with an ERA of 4.30 and a 1.17 WHIP. He appeared in 44 games out of the bullpen and looked fine.

He’s looked fine again in his first year in the rotation. Wells is going into this one with an ERA of 4.30 and a 1.17 WHIP. He hasn’t been at his best in his most recent work.

Wells has posted an ERA of 5.27 and a 1.24 WHIP in his previous three starts.

He’s had trouble keeping the ball in play versus the Red Sox. Note that the Red Sox are hitting just .176 against Wells, but have 3 home runs and RBIs in 23 at-bats.

Wells is well off the mark with an ERA of 6.50 and a 1.44 WHIP on the road through 18 innings.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 22-68 in their previous 90 games on the road
  • 2-6 overall in their previous eight games on the road versus a team with a losing record
  • 14-39 overall in their previous 53 games versus a team with a left-handed starter
  • OVER is 5-0 in their previous five games after scoring 2 or fewer runs
  • OVER is 5-0 in their previous five games after their opponent allows 2 or fewer runs

Red Sox

  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 9-3 overall in their previous 12 games
  • 6-2 overall in their previous eight games as a betting favorite
  • 9-4 overall in their previous 13 games versus a team with a right-handed starter
  • OVER is 7-2 in their previous nine games as a betting favorite
  • OVER is 8-3 in their previous 11 games

  • Rich Hill is going into this one with an ERA of 3.86 and a 1.17 WHIP. In his previous three attempts he’s going into Fenway Park with a 5.54 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.

    He’s been well on point on the road, but hasn’t cared for Fenway Park.

    Hill enters Monday night with an ERA of 6.17 and a 1.46 WHIP at home. This is compared to a 2.70 ERA and 1.03 WHIP on the road. He should have solid run support regardless.

    The Red Sox are fourth in the major leagues with 4.91 runs scored per 9 innings. They are the second-best, with a batting average of .262. In their last five attempts, the Red Sox have been hot with a .357 batting average and a .417 OBP with 9 runs per 9 innings.

    I’m looking at a high-scoring game between the O’s and Red Sox at Fenway Park tonight. Consider playing the OVER for a bet on the total in Boston on Memorial Day.


    Orioles vs. Red Sox Pick
    OVER 10
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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