Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick – MLB July 30, 2022

The Baltimore Orioles continue to play like a competitive baseball club, as they won again last night to get two games above .500. It’s crazy, but the Red Sox are 50-51 and 18 games behind the Yankees, while the O’s are 51-49 and 16.5 games off the lead.

The Orioles went on a ten-game winning streak, and while it came to an end, they are still playing good baseball. Typically what happens is a bad team will go on a winning streak, and then immediately regress to their old ways. This isn’t what the Orioles did recently.

Are the Orioles going to have enough to push for a wildcard? The fact we’re even raising this question is a big win for Baltimore. They are trending in the right direction, but let’s face it, the O’s likely aren’t a postseason team just yet.

The organization doesn’t feel that they’re in the best position to be a competitive team in the postseason at the moment, hence why the Trey Mancini trade rumors are swirling. Mancini is 30 years old and probably isn’t part of their future plans.

The O’s have two of three years left on their blueprint of completely revamping this team from the bottom to being competitive.

Trading Mancini to prepare for the next few years isn’t a bad move for a guy that is likely gone anyway in free agency. The Orioles have made major moves to improve their pitching staff over the last two years. If they stay on that course and look for more pitchers in a deal for Mancini, that’d be good news for the O’s.

The Reds were cut down by the O’s last night by a score of 6-2. In a 2-2 game, they scored 4 runs in the top of the 9th to take a 6-2 lead and ultimate final score.

Baltimore has won back-to-back games, including a 3-0 win over the Rays to win three of four games at Camden Yards. They’re not slowing down and beating some decent teams.

The Reds are going into this one at 38-61 and 17.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. They’re 1.5 games behind the Pirates for second-last. In their previous four attempts, they’ve won one against the Marlins.

Head below for our free Orioles vs. Reds prediction on July 30, 2022.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-200) -110 Over 9 (-110)
Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+170) -110 Under 9 (-110)
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3 Bovada
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5 Everygame
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6 MyBookie
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Team Data Baltimore Orioles Cincinnati Reds
Overall Record 51-49 38-61
Away/Home Record 22-29 22-32
Batting Average .232 .237
Batting Average Away/Home .230 .249
Runs Per 9 4.26 4.44
Team ERA 3.89 5.19
Team ERA Away/Home 4.44 5.08

Orioles vs. Reds Prediction:

The Orioles are sending the promising Dean Kremer to the mound at the Great American Ball Park on Sunday. Kremer had four starts in his opening campaign in 2020. He was fine with a 4.82 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.

Fine for a rookie just getting his feet wet in the majors.

Kremer struggled mightily in his following campaign, though. This was disappointing with a 7.55 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. He’s worked hard to improve his command, though.

Kremer has been one of the better arms on the O’s pitching staff. In nine starts, he’s posted an ERA of 3.06 and a 1.30 WHIP through 47 innings on the bump.

He’s been in much better control on the road than at Camden Yards. Camden Yards is a love-hate relationship with a lot of pitchers, with Kremer preferring going on the road this season.

Kremer owns an ERA of 1.66 and a 1.29 WHIP on the road.

At Camden Yards, Kremer has a 4.26 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in Baltimore. Against a spotty Reds offense, he should be fine at the Great American Ball Park.

It’s the O’s bullpen that really makes this team shine, though. They are third with a 2.99 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. This unit doesn’t get far enough credit and is largely responsible for the turnaround in 2022.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four games versus the National League
  • 6-0 overall in their previous six games after their opponent scores 2 or fewer runs
  • 7-1 overall in their previous eight games after conceding 2 or fewer runs
  • 11-4 overall in their previous 15 games after a win
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games on a Saturday


  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 7-20 overall in their previous 27 games on a Saturday
  • 10-26 overall in their previous 36 games versus the AL East
  • 15-36 overall in their previous 51 games second game of a series
  • 2-5 overall in their previous seven games versus a right-handed starter
  • 1-7 overall in their previous eight games versus the Orioles

  • Tyler Mahle is in the saddle for the Reds on the bump in this start. Mahle is going into Saturday evening with a 4.48 ERA and 1.27 WHIP.

    He hasn’t done all that well at home, with a 4.94 ERA and 1.47 WHIP.

    Mahle is so-so as of late with an ERA of 4.08 and a 1.08 WHIP. While Kremer will have support from his bullpen, don’t expect the same for Mahle.

    The Reds have the worst bullpen in the majors with a 5.26 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Kremer and Mahle is close to an even advantage, but the Orioles have a sizable advantage with their bullpen.

    We saw this last night. Credit the Reds for holding out until the 9th inning, but the floodgates opened quickly. If Mahle doesn’t carry the load deeper in this one matchup, the Reds are likely going to lose with their bullpen. Baltimore at this price over the Reds looks bettable.


    Orioles vs. Reds Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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