Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets MLB Pick – September 9, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Jorge Lopez (1-0, 5.59 ERA) vs. Rick Porcello (1-4, 5.54 ERA)

The Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets will settle in on Wednesday night for the second half of this two-game series. The Orioles blasted the Mets for a 11-2 win last night at Citi Field. Michael Wacha was off the mark again, as he surrendered 7 hits and 4 earned runs across 4 innings of baseball.

Wacha just hasn’t had it at all since reaching his prime in St. Louis. With the offseason quickly approaching, Wacha will have some time to re-tune his delivery. I don’t think it’s going to be fixed between now and the end of the season, which is only a few weeks away.

The entire Mets team feels the offseason closing in on them. They enter Wednesday with a record of 19-24 following the loss last night. I shouldn’t say that the Mets are out of the race completely, but it’s certainly looking like it right now. The San Francisco Giants are currently in possession of the final wildcard in the National League with a record of 22-21.

In other words, the Mets are still within striking distance. That said, the Mets just don’t feel like a playoff team. Even if they do find a way to get in, they likely won’t make it far. Noah Syndergaard and Steven Matz are both injured, so that leaves the Mets awfully thin in their rotation. Fortunately, Jacob deGrom is healthy, but he can’t pitch every game and carry the load on his shoulders alone.

The injury list got longer last night for the Mets’ pitching staff. Reliever Robert Gsellman left the game with a left oblique injury after allowing 6 earned runs in 3.2 innings. Things went from bad to worse for Gsellman in quick order.

The Mets will look for better results from Rick Porcello than Wacha produced last night. Porcello is another veteran that has seen better days in the majors. 27-year-old Jorge Lopez is expected to counter for the Orioles. Head below for our free Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets pick for September 9, 2020.

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Odds:


  • Orioles +1.5 (-135)
  • Mets -1.5 (+115)

  • Orioles (+152)
  • Mets (-165)

  • Over 9 (-120)
  • Under 9 (+100)


Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets Prediction:

The Baltimore Orioles acquired Jorge Lopez this season in a desperate attempt to fill out their rotation. The Kansas City Royals pulled the plug on Lopez after a miserable 2019 and rough appearance this season. Lopez didn’t get out of his inning with the Royals in 2020. He recorded 2 outs and conceded 3 hits and 2 earned runs for a 27.00 ERA.

After Lopez posted an ERA of 6.33 and 1.47 WHIP last season, and then opened the 2020 campaign with that performance, the Lopez experiment in Kansas City came to an end. Lopez has given up 15 hits and 10 earned runs in 18.2 innings with the O’s.

He has an ERA of 4.82 and 1.18 WHIP as an Oriole after leaving the Royals. Combined with the Royals and Orioles, Lopez has recorded an ERA of 5.59 and 1.29 WHIP this season. Overall in his career, Lopez owns a 5.87 ERA and 1.49 WHIP, so this is just the status quo for him.

By his standards, Lopez really hasn’t been that terrible this summer. Following a difficult time finding offense for the Mets on Tuesday night, I could see them waking up and hitting Lopez with ease. The question will be whether Rick Porcello can do his part. Porcello hasn’t been the same since he won the American League Cy Young in 2016 with the Red Sox.

That’s the last time that Porcello finished with an ERA below 4.00. Porcello had a 5.52 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in his final season with the Red Sox in 2019. The Mets needed some help with their depth after Zack Wheeler left, so Porcello was signed.

Porcello hasn’t been on point, as he heads into Wednesday with an ERA of 5.54 and 1.46 WHIP. Opponents are hitting .297 against Porcello through 39 innings. After a successful wager on the OVER yesterday, I’m hitting the repeat button and hoping for the same Wednesday.


The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.