Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick – August 27, 2020

Probable Starters:

    John Means (0-2, 10.13 ERA) vs. Ryan Yarbrough (0-2, 4.45 ERA)

The Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays are expected to meet on Thursday for the second-half of their two-game series. With three games being postponed because of boycotts yesterday, we will see if games get off the ground today. The Rays were able to edge out the Orioles with a run in the 8th inning to take a 4-3 lead and win. Baltimore got started early with 2 runs in the top of the 1st, but that was about all for offense for the visitors.

They did out hit the Rays with 8 hits as opposed to just 5 for the Rays, but were unsuccessful on the most important measure of success, the scoreboard. The Orioles are regressing since their unexpected start to 2020. However, the fact that the Orioles are 14-16 is not a bad thing. Let’s go back to last season. The Orioles were a 54-108 team last season, so flirting with .500, even though they’ve played only 30 games is a win.

Where the Orioles go from here probably isn’t going to get them into the postseason, but they can use this season as a building block going into next year. That would be a positive for the Orioles who are rebuilding. If the Orioles can hold and flirt with .500 at the end of the season, then O’s fans are going to be fine with that.

There have been some unexpected positives from the Orioles this season. However, there has also been some negatives, none more than starting pitcher John Means. Means was voted into the All-Star Game last season. This season, it looks like Means took time off during lockdown and didn’t prepare himself properly. Means has been having a lot of issues getting on track.

Means is scheduled to get the starting nod for the Orioles at the Trop on Thursday night. He desperately needs something to go right for him against the Rays, or he’s in danger of watching his numbers blow up even more. Ryan Yarbrough, who has been unable to get into a nice groove, will counter for the Rays. Head below for our free Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays pick for August 27, 2020.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Odds:


  • Orioles OFF
  • Rays OFF

  • Orioles (+164)
  • Rays (-178)
Total Rounds:

  • Over 8.5 (-108)
  • Under 8.5 (-112)


Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction:

John Means has to figure it out and quick, or his numbers aren’t going to be fixable soon. In a shortened 60-game season, there aren’t enough starts available in this campaign to repair too much damage done early on. Means heads into Thursday with a gaudy ERA of 10.13 and 1.31 WHIP.

He has to find a way to limit the deep ball because hitters have been teeing off on Means. He’s yielded 4 home runs, including 2 against the Red Sox in his most recent showing. In his previous two games through 3.2 innings on the bump, Means has allowed 6 earned runs. The deep ball has been a problem for Means against the Rays. He’s kept them off the bases for the most part, but the Rays have hit Means for 4 home runs in just 43 at-bats.

This is after Means was solid in 2019 with an ERA of 3.60 and 1.14 WHIP in his first full season in the majors. He received a spot appearance in 2018 and didn’t last long then. Means gave up 6 hits and 5 earned runs through 3.1 innings of work for a 13.50 ERA and 1.80 WHIP. He showed great signs of progress last season, but it seems all of that hard work is going right out the window in 2020.

Ryan Yarbrough hasn’t been able to get into a groove either, though he’s been able to chew up some innings, at least. Yarbrough has gotten pumped for 4 earned runs in two of his last three outings and 5 earned runs. The Jays ripped Yarbrough in his most recent performance. Yarbrough conceded 8 hits and 4 earned runs in 6.1 innings of play on August 21. He’s been worse at home, with a 4.86 ERA and 1.44 WHIP at the Trop. The total seems to be a half point too short here.


The Bet
OVER 8.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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