Blue Jays vs. Dodgers MLB Pick – August 22nd

That was a close one for the Los Angeles Dodgers last night, but they avoided a big upset against the Blue Jays. It would have made for the second sizable upset of the night after the Tigers downed the Astros in Houston. The Astros were the biggest favorite we’ve seen in the last 15 years and they still managed to lose.

That was with Justin Verlander on the bump going up against Daniel Norris. If there’s any sport not to lay that kind of juice, it has to be baseball. Don’t lay it period, but if you want to commit bankroll suicide go and bet juicy favorites all the time.

The Dodgers blew the game in the top of the 9th after Kenley Jansen surrendered a long bomb to Rowdy Tellez. Jansen must find a way to avoid flaring up like that or the Dodgers are going to be losing the close ones in the postseason. His ERA is up to 3.70, which is entering scary territory for a closing pitcher.

There are going to be tight 1-run games in the postseason where they need a lockdown inning in the 9th. Jansen has provided Dodgers’ fans with sweaty palms this season and it’s likely going to continue in October.

Max Muncy was able to save Jansen with a solo blast in the bottom of the 10th. And with one swing of the bat, the Dodgers recorded their 84th win of the season. It’s been total domination in the NL West, with the Dodgers up 20 games on the Diamondbacks. Other than the Dodgers, the NL West has been ineffective, with a real possibility that the Dodgers are the only team who finish above .500.

Give credit to the Toronto pitching staff for shutting down the Dodgers. Six different pitchers combined to hold the Dodgers in check, but it ultimately wasn’t enough for a win. Jacob Waguespack has been red-hot and will look for another confidence booster with a solid performance at Dodger Stadium tonight. Holding the Dodgers’ offense down in back-to-back days isn’t easy, though. The Dodgers are expected to give Kenta Maeda the nod. Head below for our free Blue Jays vs. Dodgers pick.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. L.A. Dodgers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -255/Blue Jays +215
  • O/U: 9

Pitching Matchup:

  • Jacob Waguespack (4-1, 4.20 ERA)
  • Kenta Maeda (8-8, 4.18 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Kenta Maeda has been decent by all accounts, but he has been the weakest link in the Dodgers’ rotation. That’s a good problem to have if you’re the Dodgers. If your worst pitcher in the rotation has a 4.18 ERA, then things are probably really good. And for the Dodgers, a record of 84-44 is really good. Maeda is the only pitcher in the rotation that has an ERA greater than 4.00. He should be pitching better than that, though. The Dodgers might already be at 90 wins if Maeda is pitching up to his expectations.

In any case, there is nothing wrong with a 4.18 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Also, Maeda has been a different hurler on the road and at home. He has been shaky as a visiting pitcher, posting an ERA of 5.67 and 1.41 WHIP in 60.1 innings of play. Conversely, the picture has looked much better at Dodger Stadium, where Maeda holds a 2.84 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 66.2 innings. He’s been solid against the Jays in 20 at-bats, as they’re hitting only .200 with 2 runs scored.

Waguespack heads into Dodger Stadium pitching well in his last three outings. He has been at his best, with a 1.56 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 17.1 innings. This matchup on the road against the Dodgers is looking like his trickiest matchup yet, though. Waguespack and has made only six starts in his rookie campaign, so we’ll see what his numbers look like with a larger sample size.

His most difficult outing on the road thus far was at Fenway Park. He allowed 4 earned runs in that contest, while yielding 6 hits and 3 walks in 4.2 innings. It’s also hard to keep the Dodgers in check in consecutive games. After five different pitchers appeared in relief for the Jays last night, there should be some fatigue there. It likely isn’t going to be as hard as last night for the Dodgers. Expect a 6-3 victory for the Dodgers this evening in Los Angeles.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.