Blue Jays vs. Orioles MLB Pick – August 27th

The Toronto Blue Jays had something nice going for themselves. That was before Sunday when the Philadelphia Phillies brought their five-game winning streak to an end. The Phillies avoided getting swept by showing up yesterday afternoon to deliver an 8-3 victory at Rogers Centre. While the Blue Jays lost, they had a good streak after they were playing lifeless baseball against the Yankees.

Also, Kendrys Morales went deep yet again to break a franchise record with his 7th home run in seven games. He is one away from tying the MLB record, currently held by Ken Griffey Jr, Don Mattingly, and Dale Long. It’s the longest home run streak since Kevin Mench hit 6 in a row with the Brewers in 2006. Morales will be going for the record tonight in Baltimore. It’s about the only thing Jays’ fans have had to get excited over in 2018. They’re excited about the future with Vlad Jr., but he has yet to make the jump to the major leagues. Look for him in the Jays’ lineup plenty next season.

2018 has been a throwaway season for both of these clubs in the American League East. While the Red Sox and Yankees have commanded attention in the division, the Jays and Orioles have played to avoid last place. The O’s, with their record of 37-94, are far off pace of the Blue Jays who enter tonight with a record of 60-70. That likely isn’t going to be enough to save John Gibbons, though. It appears that this will be his last season as the bench boss in Toronto.

He was the manager of the Blue Jays from 2002-2008 and then got rehired in 2013. Gibbons has been through the bad and good times, but as the Jays usher in a new era of baseball soon, it’s looking like he’s out in Toronto for good. His team responded nicely after giving not much of an effort vs the Yanks. We’ll see what happens on what could be a record-breaking night in Baltimore. Get our free Blue Jays vs. Orioles pick and the rest of our writeup below.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick

Sam Gaviglio (3-6, 4.94 ERA) vs. David Hess (2-8, 5.50 ERA)

Morales doesn’t have the stingiest of pitchers across from him tonight. He will have a decent chance of breaking the record Monday night in Baltimore. Rookie David Hess is getting the fourteenth start of the year tonight. He’s been good at times but erratic as well. Hess has been particularly erratic at home. The rookie walks into Camden Yards with a 6.14 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, and .340 OBA in Baltimore.

In his last 10 innings at home, Hess has allowed 11 runs. He hasn’t pitched at home since July 28th. The Baltimore bullpen doesn’t offer much help, as they possess an ERA of 4.80 for 26th in the majors. The Jays’ relievers are a bit better in 21st. It looks like Morales may have gotten lucky with this matchup. He is going to be swinging for the fences every at-bat. He can afford to be selfish with the postseason out of reach for his team.

On the other side tonight, Sam Gaviglio has gotten exposed on the road in 2018. Take him out of Canada and the Rogers Centre and he has a tendency to look like a totally different pitcher. He heads into Baltimore with an ERA of 8.36 on the road with a 1.75 WHIP and .382 OBA. In his previous 12.2 innings on the road, his opponents have tallied 13 runs against him, as well as 23 hits. He’s allowed less than 3 runs per game on the road only once, and in that one game, he was out on the mound for just 3.1 innings. In what looks like a game with double digits on the board, a play on the OVER looks solid.

The Bet: OVER 9.5 (-105)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.