Blue Jays vs. Orioles MLB Pick – September 19th

The Blue Jays capped off a wild comeback with a 11-10 win at Camden Yards in Baltimore last night. They scored 6 runs in the top of the 9th to erase the deficit. The Orioles got a run back in the bottom half of the inning, but it wasn’t enough. This is the second straight night that the Orioles have blown a lead in the 9th inning. The game was highlighted by a Randal Grichuk grand slam for 4 runs with one swing of the stick.

Tuesday night was a 4-run 9th inning for the Blue Jays in an 8-5 win. Toronto tied the game up with a run in the 8th and then blew things open with 4 runs in the 9th. That Baltimore bullpen is incredibly terrible. There is bad and then there is terrible. The Orioles fit into the terrible category.

We’re well aware by now how bad the Orioles have been in 2019, though. Despite Trey Mancini doing all he can with his bat, the team has been playing bad baseball. Collapsing again last night just showcases how good the O’s are at giving the opposing team a free win.

There are worse out there, though, but only one team, the Detroit Tigers. The Tigers look locked in to get the first pick in the draft, while the O’s will be next in line. Miami started playing better ball in the second-half, so they were able to get away from the bottom of the majors.

The Orioles are hoping for better than a record of 49-103 next year. While they can’t be much worse, there isn’t much faith in their bullpen getting much better. That will lead to several more losses next season. Gabriel Ynoa is scheduled to get the nod for the Orioles, while the Blue Jays are going to be going with the bulk reliever approach. Wilmer Font is expected to pitch an inning with Anthony Kay getting the bulk of the inning thereafter. Head below for our free Blue Jays vs. Orioles pick.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Blue Jays -135/Orioles +115
  • O/U: 10

Pitching Matchup:

  • Wilmer Font (4-4, 4.21 ERA)
  • Gabriel Ynoa (1-8, 5.74 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

For the Orioles to find success, they essentially have to get a lights out performance by their starter and hope that they don’t have to go to their bullpen too early in the contest. The best-case scenario for them would be a complete game by their starting pitcher. Just avoid their bullpen all together would be the best call. Don’t expect that to happen with Gabriel Ynoa on the bump. Ynoa was moved to the bullpen after struggling badly on the bump.

In his most recent appearance, Ynoa made the start against the Tigers and got into trouble. He ended up allowing only 2 earned runs, but had to work himself out of jams. Ynoa surrendered 7 hits and a wall in 4 innings, so he was close from getting nailed. That’s typically been the case for him this year. He goes into this one with an ERA of 5.74 with only 1 win on his resume. In his past three outings, Ynoa has posted a 6.06 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 16.1 innings.

Anthony Kay is expected to get the bulk of the work in this one for the Jays. He may not be starting, but will be in soon after Font leaves. Kay has made two starts in his young career. He’s a rookie that is just getting his feet wet late in the season. Teams send in prospects to pitch these meaningless games often.

It’s more of a glorified spring training game for the front office. In his two outings, he’s posted a 6.30 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. He should be okay against Ynoa and the O’s bullpen, though. Kay is likely to get support here. With more runs expected on the board Thursday, consider putting the OVER on your card in Baltimore.

The Bet
OVER 10
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.