Blue Jays vs. Red Sox MLB Pick – July 15th

The Boston Red Sox went the distance with the Los Angeles Dodgers last night on Sunday Night Baseball. The wall was broken down by the Dodgers in the top of the 13th, as they snapped a 4-run deadlock with 3 runs to go ahead, 7-4. The Red Sox couldn’t respond with any offense and the game ended in a 7-4 final for the visitors.

After winning the series opener by a score of 8-1, the Red Sox lost the next two by scores of 11-2 and 7-4. The Red Sox may have lost this series, but they won the most important one in October. That win resulted in a World Series, while the Dodgers were left with another shortcoming in the postseason.

With a record of 62-33 going into this week, it’s win or bust for the Dodgers again this season. As far as the Red Sox are concerned, at this point in the season, they’re just looking to find a hot run in the second-half to reach the postseason.

If the postseason started on Monday, they would not be playing October baseball. They’re currently 2.5 games behind the Athletics for the final wildcard in the American League. That’s within reach and shouldn’t be a tough order for a team built like the Red Sox. However, their road back to the World Series is going to be much rougher than last season.

The Red Sox were enjoying a five-game winning streak and winners in six of seven games before Saturday. It is disappointing losing a World Series rematch, but the larger picture is much more important. The Dodgers are still a National League opponent who don’t impact the Red Sox in the American League. Boston will have a chance to make up for the lost series against the Blue Jays. They will get four cracks at the 35-59 Blue Jays this week. Get our free Blue Jays vs. Red Sox pick below.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -190/Blue Jays +165
  • O/U: 10.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Trent Thornton (3-6, 4.85 ERA)
  • Rick Porcello (6-7, 5.33 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

The Red Sox are hoping that Rick Porcello can revert back to 2016 and catch fire for them in the second-half. Porcello captured the Cy Young that season with a terrific record of 22-4. He’s been trending in the wrong direction since, though, and failed to finish with his ERA below in 2017 and 2018. The veteran is on pace to finish with the worst ERA of his career in 2019. His previous career-low occurred in 2010 and 2015 with a 4.92 ERA in both years.

His numbers have gotten much worse recently. Porcello went into June 23rd against the Blue Jays with a 4.31 ERA. Just three starts later and he is looking at an ERA of 5.33 with a 1.42 WHIP. In his last three outings Porcello posted a 12.75 ERA, 2.33 WHIP, and .444 OBA. He hasn’t allowed less than 5 runs in a game since June 17th against the Twins. Porcello allowed 8 hits and 5 earned runs to the Jays on June 23rd to get his unfavorable run underway. Toronto are hitting .245 with 8 home runs and 27 runs against Porcello in 143 at-bats.

Trent Thornton has nearly been as bad as Porcello recently, but not quite as bad. Thornton heads into Fenway Park with a 9.00 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in his previous three games on the bump. The Red Sox took him for a ride on the 2nd for 11 hits and 7 earned runs in just 2.2 innings.

He’s gotten throttled in his career against the Red Sox. Thornton has allowed the Red Sox to hit .422 with a .438 OBP in 45 at-bats. Following a tough loss in extra innings a night ago, expect the Red Sox offense to come through with a big night against Thornton. We likely see at least 11 runs on the board on Monday night at Fenway.

The Bet
OVER 10.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.