Blue Jays vs. Red Sox MLB Pick – July 17th

The Boston Red Sox slept on the Toronto Blue Jays and paid for it a night ago. There were plenty of mistakes by the Red Sox that saw them have to digest a 10-4 loss. Focus wasn’t there for the Red Sox, which must change in a hurry. This should be an easy series where they don’t have to worry about a good team. It’s never good to overlook any team in the major leagues, though.

There are a lot of young guys in the Blue Jays’ lineup who want to impress still. They certainly did last night against Andrew Cashner and the bullpen. Cashner’s first start in Boston was a dud, as all of the momentum he built up in Baltimore was lost.

There is going to be way more stress on Cashner here than playing on one of the worst teams in the league in Baltimore. If you look back on his career, he’s never had to face much pressure. The Red Sox didn’t have to give up too much to acquire him, so it still looks like a pretty good move.

With a win by the Yankees last night, the Red Sox trail by 10 games in the AL East. Good luck with that one, but they can still get a seat at the table with a wildcard appearance. It could very well be a quick exit, though, in a play-in game with their bullpen. Adding an arm to the starting rotation is one thing, but they have to be better than average.

Heath Hembree and Ryan Weber allowed 5 runs between the two of them last night. Hembree registered zero outs before exiting with 3 runs allowed. Aaron Sanchez and Eduardo Rodriguez are expected to get the start for their respective ball clubs on Wednesday at Fenway Park. This is the third game of a four-game series, so the Red Sox are dangerously close to only getting a split against a bad team like the Jays at home. Those can hurt when wins and losses are tallied up at the end of the regular season. Head below for our free Blue Jays vs. Red Sox pick.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -210/Blue Jays +210
  • O/U: 11

Pitching Matchup:

  • Aaron Sanchez (3-13, 6.22 ERA)
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (10-4, 4.43 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Edwin Jackson era is over in Toronto after the team designated him for assignment recently. That made room for Jacob Waguespack, who was effective in the 10-4 win Tuesday. Jackson will go down as the worst pitcher to ever play for the Blue Jays.

Now that Jackson is taken care of, what are the Blue Jays going to do with Aaron Sanchez? The plan at the beginning of the season was to unload his contract on another team. A trade is going to be difficult to pull off considering his lack of success in 2019. The losses continue to accumulate for Sanchez, while the front office might be left trading him for a few baseballs. At this point, the whole bag might be a stretch.

Sanchez enters Fenway Park with an ERA of 6.22 and 1.75 WHIP in 20 starts. He’s been especially bad recently, with at least 4 earned runs allowed in seven of his last eight contests. In his last three outings, Sanchez has posted an ERA of 8.31, 2.08 WHIP, and .438 OBA. It’s nearly impossible to try and market that to a potential trade suitor.

Also note that Sanchez has been at worst on the road, with a 6.79 ERA and .401 OBA in 50.1 innings pitched. If the Blue Jays were able to, the best move for Sanchez would probably be putting him in the bullpen to try and find a bit of confidence. However, the depth for the Jays in the rotation is thing, so they have to roll the dice with Sanchez.

Eduardo Rodriguez has been serviceable for the Red Sox, with a 4.43 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. The Red Sox were expecting him to take the next step up and we haven’t seen it, though. Eduardo finished 2018 with a 3.82 ERA, which was a career-high for him. While his numbers have slipped, he still owns a solid record of 10-4.

Rodriguez has been getting some incredible run support. In his last three starts, the Red Sox have scored 25 runs for him. They’ve also scored an average of 8.8 runs per game in his previous six appearances. The Jays have been swinging the bats well with 18 runs against the Sox in this series. They likely get to Rodriguez here and their 17th ranked bullpen. The Jays aren’t better in that respect, as their relievers are 23rd in the majors with an ERA of 4.92. Expect enough runs on the board to put this one OVER the total.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.