We split yesterday with our pair of afternoon matchups. However, I ended up finishing well in the positive on the day after dumping a few more units on the Diamondbacks/Nationals UNDER. The price I locked in last night was +100, and then it was +121 before the opening pitch. Fishy indeed, but with pitchers of that caliber I couldn’t ignore that spectacular price. It was one of my more favorite plays of the year and I got it at plus money, so I can’t really complain with how things went yesterday.
The Rangers/Yankees game was certainly less satisfying, as the OVER didn’t even close to hitting. It felt like every time I turned away and looked back the inning was finished. I felt confident in the Rangers winning that one, and had it as a lean, so hopefully my total play was ignored and you guys hit that.
Free MLB Pick:
Toronto Blue Jays -120 at Boston Red Sox +100 (Total: 9.5)
Josh Johnson (1-2, 4.60 ERA) vs. Allen Webster (0-2, 11.25 ERA)
As I have stated previously, I am going to continue to follow the numbers which statistically point to a winning bet. All of them can’t hit, but at the end of the season I am fairly positive we will be on the winning side of things. The numbers haven’t let me down yet, as I am having myself a profitable baseball season. My pick for Friday night stays true to form.
Two of the most offensively gifted teams in the league clash at Fenway in Boston which should prove to be a fun one to watch. I know when looking at the card this one clearly stuck out as the most attractive game from a fan, viewer, and gamblers point of view. While Blue Jays’ fans are mourning the demotion of firecracker Munenori Kawasaki, the only thing I see is the Blue Jays as a much better team with Jose Reyes. Don’t get me wrong, Kawasaki was the jumpstart the Jays needed to ignite some life into the team, but a healthy Reyes is the key to success for Toronto.
The Blue Jays send former Marlin Josh Johnson to the mound for game 1 of this critical series. Johnson, similar to many other Jays, has been hindered by an injury, and has only been back in the rotation since the beginning of the month. His return has seen mixed reviews in those four starts. He came back on the 4th, dismantling the Giants’ lineup allowing only 1 run. Since then he been a little unpredictable, shutting the Rockies down, and then following that up with a stinker against the Orioles in his last start. Johnson hasn’t had much work on the road this season with only 8.1 innings pitched, but it wasn’t pretty against the last stingy test he faced in the Detroit Tigers. In that contest Johnson got blitzed for 6 runs on 7 hits. He has an ERA of 7.56 on the road with a 1.80 WHIP. He shouldn’t have it easy tonight against a team that hits righties at a .283 clip.
There is somewhat of an unknown surrendering Allen Webster. He’s a young prospect that has only seen three games in his career in the majors. It has been a work in progress thus far, surrendering 8 runs in only 1.2 innings pitched against the Twins, then getting bombed against the Tigers in his last start. The Blue Jays should be feasting to get to Webster early and often. With an ERA of 11.25, .441 OBP, and 2.08 WHIP the offensively efficient Jays should be foaming out the mouth. Play the OVER 9.5 with a lean to the Blue Jays.
Free Pick: OVER 9.5