Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick – September 25, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Chris Mazza (1-2, 5.40 ERA) vs. Kyle Wright (2-4, 5.74 ERA)

The Boston Red Sox won two of three against the Baltimore Orioles, but failed to close out the series with a win to sweep. It wasn’t even close, as the Orioles woke up on Thursday night to bash in Martin Perez for 9 hits and 6 earned runs. Dylan Covey was unable to provide much relief, as he was tagged for 4 hits and 3 earned runs through 3 innings. The Orioles proceeded to win a 13-1 game.

Hanser Alberto was the leading bat for the O’s with 3 RBI on 2-for-4 hitting. Not that the series meant anything. The Orioles and Red Sox are both eliminated from the postseason. The Atlanta Braves are not eliminated and have already clinched the NL East going into the final weekend of the season. The Braves will welcome the Red Sox to Truist Park for a three-day stay in Atlanta.

It’s time to start focusing on the postseason for the Braves, while the Red Sox have nothing to lose. They will be in the offseason as of Sunday evening. The Braves would be playing the Cincinnati Reds if the playoff started today. They’re not catching the Dodgers for the top seed in the National League, so it’s all about holding off the Chicago Cubs at this point.

Note that the first round will be played in Atlanta at Truist Park. It will be a five-game play-in series for an invite to the bubble in Arlington. I still think that the bottom teams should be weeded out in a one-game Wild Card matchup, but this format will make more money for Major League Baseball.

More teams, more games, hence more money in the wallet for the league. Does a .500 team or thereabout deserve to play the Braves in a five-game series? No, but it’ll make for good TV at least in October. The most important goal for the Braves is staying healthy at the moment. But it will also be important to stay crisp and focused.

They’re winners in four of their last five games, but coming off a lackluster 4-2 loss versus the Marlins, which ended their winning streak. We’ll see if they decide to go into the playoffs hot or cold. Head below for our free Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves pick for September 25, 2020.

Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Odds:


  • Red Sox +1.5 (-130)
  • Braves -1.5 (+110)

  • Red Sox (+143)
  • Braves (-155)

  • Over 10.5 (-110)
  • Under 10.5 (-110)

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Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction:

This will obviously be the final start of the season for Chris Mazza and Kyle Wright. Wright isn’t done yet, as he’ll be going to the playoffs with the Braves. He doesn’t deserve a spot in the rotation from what we’ve seen in the regular season, but the Braves will have to include him. Depth in their rotation might end up being their downfall.

Wright posted an ERA of 4.50 and 8.69 in his first two seasons. He made four starts and three appearances out of the bullpen as a reliever last year. It didn’t go well for Wright, as he recorded an ERA of 8.69 and 1.88 WHIP.

In what Wright wanted to be a redemption season, it hasn’t played out like that for him. He’s been better, but when you have a 8.69 ERA, it isn’t hard to show improvements. Wright owns an ERA of 5.74 and 1.72 WHIP through 31.1 innings of work. His effort at Truist Park has not been pretty.

In his final start of the season, Wright will look to do something to repair his 6.14 ERA and 2.45 WHIP. Batters are reaching base at a clip of .474 against Wright in Atlanta. In other words, a proper repair job isn’t going to be possible in one start with numbers like that.

However, he’s still only a 24-year-old, and experience in the playoffs will help for the future. Wright is coming off a really nice performance against the mets. He gave up 1 hit and no earned runs through 6.1 innings at Citi Field. Perhaps that gets him going into tonight and into the postseason.

30-year-old Chris Mazza was in the Red Sox rotation because of depth issues. This was an audition for him. He appeared in nine games last season, which was his first experience in the majors. Mazza posted an ERA of 5.51 and 1.59 WHIP.

He’s been nearly the same in 2020, with an ERA of 5.40 and 1.72 WHIP through 25 innings. Mazza has an ERA of 5.63 and 1.75 WHIP in his previous three outings, so at least there’s been consistency for him. There should be enough runs to hit the OVER at Truist Park.


The Bet
OVER 10.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.