Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals Pick – MLB August 6, 2022

The Boston Red Sox and Kansas City Royals enter Saturday night for the third game of a four-game meeting at Kauffman Stadium. The Royals were impressive in the series opener. They pulled away for a 7-3 win following a solid performance from Kris Bubic on the mound.

It was a good night for the Red Sox on Friday. John Winckowski held up well, allowing 5 hits and 1 earned run across 5 innings of work. Conversely, Zack Greinke was tagged for 7 hits and 4 earned runs in 4.2 innings.

The Red Sox have stabilized since an ugly run with 13 losses in 17 games, but they need a lot more. The competition is stiff for a wildcard in the American League, with the Red Sox 3.5 games behind at 54-54.

It shouldn’t have had to come to this for the Red Sox. They were in a good position to cruise to a wildcard.

Beating the Royals in this series is imperative at Kauffman. Passing up winnable games doesn’t add up well at the end of the season. The Royals are 42-65 and a half-game ahead of the Tigers for second-last in the AL Central.

Despite a record of 42-65, the Royals are only 14.5 games off the pace of the division-leading Minnesota Twins. It hasn’t been a good year for the AL Central.

The Red Sox are sending Nathan Eovaldi to the bump this evening. Eovaldi is coming off a strong performance versus the Astros, but has been inconsistent as of late. Daniel Lynch is scheduled to have the green light for the Royals.

Head below for our free Red Sox vs. Royals prediction on August 6, 2022.

Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+105) -147 Over 9 (-115)
Kansas City Royals +1.5 (-125) +123-130 Under 9 (-105)
Team Data Boston Red Sox Kansas City Royals
Overall Record 54-54 42-65
Away/Home Record 28-27 23-31
Batting Average .253 .245
Batting Average Away/Home .240 .255
Runs Per 9 4.53 3.89
Team ERA 4.30 4.72
Team ERA Away/Home 3.85 4.42

Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction:

Nathan Eovaldi was going sideways before getting his season back on track against the Houston Astros. Eovaldi allowed 4 hits and no runs through 6.1 innings of work. Well done, but he was struggling mightily leading up to that performance.

Eovaldi yielded 16 earned runs in three starts before righting the ship.

He is going into Kauffman Stadium with an ERA of 4.11 and a 1.23 WHIP through 16 starts in 2022. Eovaldi has posted an ERA of 7.80 and a 1.67 WHIP in his previous three attempts.

The starting pitching can be better for the Red Sox. However, it’s later in games when the bullpen has a tendency of getting erratic.

When the Red Sox were winning championships, the importance of a good bullpen was stressed. However, they’re not going to make it work in this current form.

The Red Sox bullpen has an ERA of 4.29 and a 1.31 WHIP.

That ranks towards the back of the majors, with only five teams worse off than the Red Sox. One of those teams happens to be the Royals. The Royals are third-last in the majors with a bullpen ERA of 4.55 and a 1.51 WHIP.

Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals Betting Trends:

Red Sox

  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 3-8 overall in their previous 11 games on the road
  • 2-5 overall in their previous seven games after a win
  • OVER is 3-0-1 in their previous four games versus a team with a winning percentage worse than 40%
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games versus a starter with a WHIP worse than 1.30
  • OVER is 4-1-2 in their previous seven games versus the Royals


  • Record (Last 10): 3-7
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games on a Saturday
  • 5-16 overall in their previous 21 games versus the Red Sox
  • OVER is 15-5-2 in their previous 22 games versus the Red Sox at home
  • OVER is 6-2 in their previous eight games
  • OVER is 5-0 in their previous five games versus the AL East

  • The Royals send lefty Daniel Lynch to the bump looking for a productive performance at home. He’d rather not be at Kauffman Stadium, where he’s been known to run into problems.

    Lynch has an ERA of 5.97 and a 1.43 WHIP at home this season.

    Overall, the second-year pitcher boasts an ERA of 4.70 and a 1.55 WHIP through 16 games. Scoring hasn’t been the biggest complaint about the Red Sox this season. They can usually hit the ball well.

    The Red Sox are sixth in the majors with a team batting average of .253. In their last ten outings, they’re hitting an impressive .261 vs lefties.

    I’m looking toward another offensive game at Kauffman Stadium. The runs should flow with Eovaldi and Lynch on the bump. The OVER at 9 runs looks like bettable.


    Red Sox vs. Royals Pick
    OVER 9
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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