Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets Pick – MLB July 29, 2020

    Nathan Eovaldi (1-0, 1.50 ERA) vs. Jacob deGrom (1-0, 0.00 ERA)

The Boston Red Sox and New York Mets head to Citi Field after the Mets took the first two games of this two-game series. In another twist in this shortened 60-game season, teams are splitting home field in four-game series. I like it actually, but that means more travel which complicates things during a pandemic. That probably only increases the chances of contracting the coronavirus with more travel. In any event, I like the change of scenery after two games into a series.

The Mets took care of the Red Sox in both games at Fenway Park. There wasn’t much competition for the Mets in either game, as they won by scores of 7-4 and 8-3. The Mets advanced to 3-2 with a 8-3 win on Tuesday. David Peterson was strong enough across 5.2 innings to hold the Red Sox to 2 earned runs. He had to work himself out of some jams, but got out of the game relatively unscatched. The offense took care of the rest for the Mets.

There were three Mets that notched 2 RBI’s, with Jeff McNeil and J. D. Davis doing plenty of damage from the No. 3 and 4 spot in the lineup. With a couple of wins in Boston, the Mets turn to their ace back home now. For the Red Sox, they have to find a way out of this early season funk or else things could snowball. They aren’t in a position to win the World Series in 2020, but should have enough in the tank for the postseason.

After a 1-4 start, though, the Red Sox have already dug a hole for themselves. Normally that wouldn’t be an issue, but with only 60 games on the schedule, there isn’t much room for error. The Red Sox received a standout performance from Nathan Eovaldi in his first assignment of the season. Eovaldi is the only pitcher on the Red Sox to find a win so far. He will look to go 2-0 at Citi Field on Wednesday. The Mets’ ace, Jacob deGrom, is scheduled to get the nod opposite Eovaldi. Head below for our free Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets pick for July 29, 2020 in MLB.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets MLB Baseball Betting Odds:


  • Red Sox +1.5 (-125)
  • Mets -1.5 (+105)

  • Red Sox (+167)
  • Mets (-194)
Total Points:

  • Over 7.5 (-115)
  • Under 7.5 (-105)


Boston Red Sox vs. NY Mets Prediction:

Nathan Eovaldi has been the one bright spot for the Red Sox so far this season. He led the Red Sox to a 13-2 win on July 24. Since then, the Red Sox have lost four straight games and look nothing like a contender. They weren’t expected to be major contenders in 2020, though, so don’t be too surprised by their 1-4 record to open the season. Eovaldi held the Baltimore Orioles to 5 hits and 1 earned across 6 innings of work. That’s against one of the worst offenses in baseball, though. Don’t get too excited over that outing by Eovaldi. It was good, yes, but let’s see how Eovaldi will make out against a better team.

Eovaldi was roughed up for a 5.99 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 2018. He went three straight seasons with an ERA above 4.00 and finally got it under that mark in 2018. However, Eovaldi regressed again last season and he was barely able to keep his ERA under 6.00. One solid performance against the Orioles isn’t the best barometer to establish where Eovaldi is this season.

That said, I think Eovaldi can have a fairly productive outing versus the Mets on Wednesday. The problem for Eovaldi is that he’s up against deGrom. If he gets into a duel against deGrom, then the former Cy Young winner is likely going to win that battle. His opponent was brilliant against the Atlanta Braves. In deGrom’s first start of 2020, he got hot with just 1 hit conceded across 5 innings of work.

He also issued a walk to leave the game with a 0.00 ERA and 0.40 WHIP. DeGrom exited with 8 K’s to showcase incredible control on the hill. That was an easy day for deGrom at the office, as he looks to get back into Cy Young form. He tailed off last season, with an ERA of 2.43 and 0.97 WHIP as opposed to a 1.70 ERA and 0.91 WHIP from his Cy Young season in 2018.

However, he was still a dominant pitcher and one of the best in baseball. He’s been a force against this Boston lineup. He’s handcuffed them for a .164 average and .164 OBP in 64 at-bats, with just 1 earned run allowed. There is no player on the Red Sox roster that has taken deGrom deep before. The Red Sox are not the same team as we’ve come to know over the last decade. Getting deGrom at plus money on the runline at home is solid value.


The Bet
NY METS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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