Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Pick – MLB July 16, 2022

The Boston Red Sox will look to make it two in a row over the New York Yankees. They are coming off a 5-4 win in extra innings. Ryan Braiser was able to close the game after the Red Sox scratched a run across the plate. That wasn’t easy, but Braiser handled the situation well.

The Yankees scored a run in the bottom of the 9th off a fielder’s choice to tie the ball game up at 4-4. It wasn’t the flashiest run, nor was how the Red Sox won off a wild pitch. The only run scored in extras was Xander Bogaerts getting home after Michael King threw the game away.

Despite the loss, the Yankees have control of the AL East at 62-28. They own a 12-game lead over the Tampa Bay Rays and 14.5 over the Red Sox.

This doesn’t provide the Yankees with an automatic win in the division. There is still time for them to go cold and give it up, but things sure look good for them going into the All-Star break.

The Yankees haven’t been their smoothest recently.

They have lost five of their previous six attempts, with their only win during that stretch a 7-6 win over the Cincinnati Reds. The Bronx Bombers weren’t too far off from getting swept by the Reds.

The Red Sox need a productive second half if they’re going to the postseason. They are a bubble team, with anything possible. Boston enters at 48-43 and will likely be part of a crowded wildcard race.

Nick Pivetta and Jameson Taillon are on the docket at Yankee Stadium this evening. Both were pitching well to open this season, but they’ve cooled off since then. Head below for our free Red Sox vs. Yankees prediction on July 16, 2022.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-145) +134 Over 8.5 (-120)
New York Yankees -1.5 (+125) -160 Under 8.5 (+100)
Team Data Boston Red Sox New York Yankees
Overall Record 48-43 62-28
Away/Home Record 25-23 35-11
Batting Average .255 .240
Batting Average Away/Home .247 .229
Runs Per 9 4.74 5.35
Team ERA 3.85 3.11
Team ERA Away/Home 3.48 2.79

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction:

The Yankees have the best pitching staff in the major leagues and that counts for a lot in the postseason. As a team, the Yankees hold an impressive 3.11 ERA. At Yankee Stadium, they’ve been in top form with an ERA of 2.79 and a 1.01 WHIP.

The Yanks are the best in the majors with 3.26 runs allowed per 9 innings.

Have they been at their best recently? That hasn’t been the case. The Reds scored 13 runs over their last two meetings and then the Yankees gave up 5 more runs last night in the series opener.

James Taillon is looking for better after failing to find his form recently. He allowed 5 earned runs to the Bucs at PNC Park and then followed up with 6 earned runs at Fenway Park.

Back home at Yankee Stadium, expect Taillon to look sharper on Saturday night. He’s been solid at home this season, with an ERA of 3.73 and a 1.24 WHIP.

He will likely have support from the offense.

Nick Pivetta has been having issues of his own recently. He is coming off a shoddy performance against the Yankees at home. Pivetta lasted just 3.1 innings after allowing 8 hits and 6 earned runs in 3.1 innings.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Betting Trends:

Red Sox

  • Record (Last 10): 2-8
  • 2-6 overall in their previous eight games on the road
  • 2-7 overall in their previous nine games at Yankee Stadium
  • 5-10 overall in their previous 15 games versus the Yankees
  • 0-5 overall in their previous five second game of a series
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games on the road


  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 15-5 overall in their previous 20 games at home
  • 7-2 overall in their previous nine games versus the Red Sox at home
  • 40-13 overall in their previous 53 second game of a series
  • 23-9 overall in their previous 32 games versus the AL East
  • OVER is 5-0 in their previous five games versus the Red Sox

  • Pivetta has gotten rocked for a 9.00 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in his previous 15 innings on the bump. He yielded a .417 OBA and didn’t have much control.

    The Yankees know what it’s like to score vs Pivetta, as they’ve recorded 26 RBIs and 10 home runs in 111 at-bats.

    Expect the Yankees to do damage with their bats in this one. Also expect Taillon to be in better shape now that he’s back at Yankee Stadium following a couple of two spots on the road.

    The Yankees look like the play after dropping a tough one at Yankee Stadium on Friday night.


    Red Sox vs. Yankees Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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