Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Pick – MLB July 31, 2020

    Ryan Weber (0-1, 14.73 ERA) vs. Jordan Montgomery (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

The Boston Red Sox move on from a so-so series at Citi Field to Yankee Stadium for the weekend. The Red Sox were able to win on Wednesday and Thursday to take a split against the Mets. The Mets won easily the first two days, with wins of 7-4 and 8-3, but then the Red Sox defeated Jacob deGrom, and followed up with a 4-2 win on Thursday.

They were on a four-game losing streak, with two losses versus the Baltimore Orioles before suffering another two losses against the Mets. Of all games, the Red Sox win the toughest game out of five outings versus deGrom. That’s how baseball goes sometimes.

The New York Yankees got a lot of offense early in the 1st inning on Thursday night. With one swing of the stick by Luke Voit, the Yankees put up 4 runs off a grand slam to take a 5-0 lead before the Orioles even took an at-bat. However, the Yankees did diddly for the rest of the game and allowed the Orioles to get within a run in short order.

The bats went quiet for both sides after a 5-4 score going into the 3rd inning. The Orioles made the Yankees pay for failing to pad their lead, as Pedro Severino sent a 2-run blast over the wall to take a 6-5 lead in the bottom 8th. Fail to take advantage of opportunities offensively, and just relying on the bullpen tends to result in that happening.

Aaron Judge responded for the Yankees in the 9th, though, and sent a 3-run blast on a line drive to center field to retake the lead 8-6. Tough one to take for the Orioles, as they kept the Yankees’ offense silent for 7 innings, though that wasn’t good enough. The Yankees head into Friday with a record of 4-1 to lead the AL East.

Clutch city for the Yankees on Thursday night. We’ll see if they cut things tight again on Friday versus their rivals. Jordan Montgomery is scheduled to get his first start of the season tonight. If J. A. Happ struggles, then Montgomery becomes even more important to the Yankees.

He’s a back of the end option in the rotation right now, though that may change. Ryan Weber is with his fourth different team in five years and hopes to find a home with the Red Sox. He gets called on at Yankee Stadium for today. Head below for our free Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees pick for July 31, 2020.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Red Sox +1.5 (+105)
  • Yankees -1.5 (-125)
Moneyline:

  • Red Sox (+184)
  • Yankees (-200)
Total Points:

  • Over 11 (+100)
  • Under 11 (-120)

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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Prediction:

Ryan Weber entered the major leagues in 2015, and has already been with the Braves, Mariners, Rays, and Red Sox. As a 29-year-old, Weber is at a point in his career where he must show improvements or a trip to South Korea might be in his future. The KBO might be his next step if he can’t get things under control. In 43 games in his career, Weber has a 5.34 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.

He’s consistently been around that mark as well. In his last two years, he notched a 5.06 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, and then followed up with a 5.09 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 18 games with the Red Sox in 2019. Weber received 15 outings as a reliever and three as a starter. With depth a concern in the Red Sox rotation, they have to send Weber out as a starter.

Day 1 of the experiment didn’t go well for Weber. He was torched for an ERA of 14.73 and 2.45 WHIP against the Baltimore Orioles. The O’s got to Weber for 6 hits and 6 earned runs in 3.2 innings. The Red Sox have seen Weber in only 10 at-bats, but they took advantage, with a .500 batting average and 2 runs. I’m confident in the Yankees pounding Weber at Yankee Stadium on Friday.

For Jordan Montgomery, he enters 2020 with something to prove. He was sharp in spring and summer training, with a 2.81 ERA and 0.69 WHIP across 16 innings of work. Montgomery tops out at about 95 mph, and if he finds control, is going to be hard to hit. In 37 innings in his career, he’s posted an ERA of 3.91 and 1.26 WHIP. I think he has a chance to improve as he takes on a bigger role with the Yanks in 2020. I’m on the Bronx Bombers to win by 2 or more runs in the series opener versus the Red Sox.

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The Bet
NEW YORK YANKEES -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.