A big series in terms of AL East supremacy continues on Tuesday night north of the border as the Boston Red Sox will look to bounce back against the Toronto Blue Jays, in a matchup that is sure to hold playoff implications down the line.
The Jays throttled the BoSox Monday night, on the backs of some power hitting and excellent pitching from Kevin Gausman. Boston looked lost at the plate, and couldn’t take advantage of a weakened Toronto bullpen.
PITCHING PROBABLES: Red Sox: Michael Wacha (6-1, 2.34 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 48 strikeouts); Blue Jays: Ross Stripling (4-2, 3.08 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 43 strikeouts)
Tonight Boston will look to bounce back in a matchup that pits two veteran pitchers both having renaissance seasons. For Boston, Michael Wacha will take the bump. The former Cardinal pitcher has been elite this season, keeping batters off-balance with excellent precision and variety. Against a red-hot Toronto offense, he’ll definitely get another stern test on Tuesday night at the Rogers Centre.
4️⃣ Michael Wacha’s career has been a journey, going from an All-Star in 2015 to a disappointing journeyman with a 10-16 record and a 5.11 ERA over the last three years.
He’s 6-2 with a 2.34 ERA across 65 2/3 innings, going 3-0 with a 2.19 ERA in June. pic.twitter.com/yZ1qInAkF4
— Boardroom (@boardroom) June 27, 2022
The Jays have had some pitching issues of late, but reliever turned starter Ross Stripling is definitely not one of them. The former Dodger has been effectively stretched out and provided excellent depth to the Jays, during a time where they need it most. Losing Hyun-Jin Ryu, and awful showings of late from both Jose Berrios and Yusei Kikuchi, has put this Toronto rotation in crisis. Stripling is similar in make-up to his Tuesday night counterpart, Michael Wacha, which makes this showdown even more intriguing.
Ross Stripling since moving into the rotation June 6:
3-1, 1.31 ERA, 0.7 WAR
He’s 7th in ERA and 14th in WAR among all MLB starters over that span.
Imagine where this rotation would be without him?
— Josh Goldberg (@JGoldberg12) June 28, 2022
Both of these teams are firmly ones to watch as we approach the mid-season mark of another thrilling MLB season. Can the BoSox continue their torrid pace into a wild-card spot? Or will the hot-hitting, hometown Jays offense bring Michael Wacha back down to reality? Continue reading on beneath the odds, data, and trends for our official betting pick on the Jays vs. Red Sox June 28th. Enjoy!
The Red Sox are on a roll, with a 7 game win streak and a 1.5 game lead in the Wild Card race.
Now comes the ultimate test: 20 of the next 23 games are against TOR/TB/NYY. Sox are 7-14 against the AL East, 35-17 against everyone else.#RedSox
— Tom Caron (@TomCaron) June 27, 2022
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Live Odds & Betting History
Betting odds provided by BOVADA
|TEAM DATA||RED SOX||BLUE JAYS|
|Runs Per Game||4.8||4.7|
|Runs Allowed Per Game||4.0||4.4|
|Team Batting Average||.261||.255|
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction:
Despite a tough showing in the series opener, don’t count out the BoSox just yet. They’ve played exceptional baseball of late, and statistically profile as the better team than the Jays. Michael Wacha has turned back the clock in 2022, and the veteran right-hander enters with a 2.34 ERA. He’s already faced Toronto earlier in the season, only conceding four hits across six innings.
While there’s been a ton of talk of late about Toronto’s offense, it’s actually the Boston attack that enters in better form. They’re first in baseball in terms of batting average, and sit top-five in both runs and OPS as well. Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, and Trevor Story are all raking right now, with Devers a clear candidate for an AL MVP nomination.
The hard-hitting and contact of the BoSox could spell trouble for Ross Stripling on Tuesday night. While the veteran has secured some great results of late, his 6.1% barrel rate remains a key concern. And though Toronto’s numbers at the plate have been better of late, they’ve typically struggled against crafty throwers with low velocity. Wacha fits that profile, and could stymie the front-end of Toronto’s batting order – although Jays’ catcher Alejandro Kirk continues his torrid pace.
Alejandro Kirk is now the 9th best hitter in baseball by wRC+ pic.twitter.com/6UWuaA72yR
— bk (@_bkuh_) June 25, 2022
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Trends To Know:
- The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of the day.
- Trevor Story is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Toronto (#3-worst of all teams today).
- Red Sox are 12-1 in their last 13 games following a loss.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 3-7 in their last 10 overall.
Expect a much tighter game than the series opener on Monday night. Both pitchers should get the better of their countering offenses, though it’s the Red Sox lineup balance that gives them the edge over a beleaguered Jays’ bullpen. With injuries and inability, Toronto’s relievers are in the midst of a prolonged slump. Expect Boston to pull out a win in the late innings, and back the BoSox on a nice underdog price.