Boston Red Sox vs. Washington Nationals Pick – MLB October 1, 2021

The Boston Red Sox and Washington Nationals meet for a three-game series to wrap up the regular season. The question here is whether the Red Sox are going to be playing baseball in the postseason. We don’t know right now. The Red Sox are in a heated battle with the Seattle Mariners for the final wildcard.

The Mariners and Red Sox are tied for the last wildcard in the American League with a record of 89-70. They’re in a deadlock, while the New York Yankees are up for homefield advantage in the Wild Card with a record of 91-68. All the Red Sox care about is doing enough to get into the postseason. They don’t care where they have to play at this point.

It’s unfortunate for the Red Sox because this team was up in the division for a decent chunk of the season. However, just when the Tampa Bay Rays got hot, the Red Sox hit a wall and started to regress. It happened so quickly. At first it was only the division that they gave up, and then the Red Sox were trying to play catch up for the wildcard.

The Red Sox are just trying to hang on, and losing two of three games versus the Baltimore Orioles isn’t a good method to do it. They’re coming off a 6-2 loss last night. That’s a gutless effort from the Red Sox. Nick Pivetta was fine through 6 innings with 4 hits and 3 earned runs allowed, but the offense didn’t show up against Alexander Wells.

Pivetta could have been better, though Wells was much sharper with 3 hits and 1 earned run in 6 innings. The Red Sox can’t be doing that. They have the talent in their lineup that should be hitting the Orioles, especially at such an important part of the season. The Red Sox will have another opportunity against a losing team that isn’t going to the playoffs this weekend.

The Washington Nationals will host the Red Sox in a series where they obviously have nothing to lose. The Nationals are going into this one with a record of 65-94. They’re tied with the Miami Marlins for last in the NL East. The Nats will go with rookie Josh Rogers on the bump, while Eduardo Rodriguez gets an important start for the Red Sox. Head below for our free Red Sox vs. Nationals pick on October 1, 2021.

Boston Red Sox vs. Washington Nationals Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-127) -197 Over 9 (-115)
Washington Nationals +1.5 (+107) +181 Under 9 (-105)
Team Data Boston Red Sox Washington Nationals
Overall Record 89-70 65-94
Away/Home Record 40-38 35-43
Batting Average .259 .255
Batting Average Away/Home .239 .262
Runs Per 9 5.30 4.66
Team ERA 4.29 4.82
Team ERA Away/Home 3.98 4.65

Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction:

The Red Sox are looking at Eduardo Rodriguez to deliver a strong performance in Washington tonight. Rodriguez is going into tonight with an ERA of 4.93 and a 1.39 WHIP. The lefty missed all of last season with heart problems following a COVID diagnosis. It’s been rough for Rodirugez to get his season back on track this season.

It could be rust after missing last season and dealing with a serious healthy diagnosis. That’s the good news for Rodriguez. He has a good chance of bouncing back to form next season. However, it hasn’t been the best 2021 for E-Rod, as he’s struggled with consistency problems. In his previous four attempts, Rodriguez has conceded 25 hits and 11 earned runs.

Boston Red Sox vs. Washington Nationals Betting Trends:

Red Sox

  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 1-6 overall in their previous six games
  • 40-12 overall in their previous 52 interleague games
  • 6-2 overall in their previous eight games versus a team with a winning record
  • OVER is 5-1-1 in their previous seven interleague games
  • OVER 4-1 in their previous five interleague games
  • Eduardo Rodriguez ERA (Last 3): 2.93


  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four interleague games as an underdog
  • 7-0 overall in their previous seven interleague games at home versus a team with a winning record
  • OVER is 5-1 in their previous six interleagues games at home
  • OVER is 4-0 in their previous four interleagues as an underdog
  • Josh Rogers ERA (Last 3): 2.73

Josh Rogers has been hanging on by a thread to open his career. He goes into Friday night with impressive numbers with an ERA of 2.73. However, Rogers has been one big hit away from watching his numbers blow up in an instant.

You have to give Rogers credit for what he’s done through his five starts in 2021. This is a guy that was shellacked in 2018 for a 8.49 ERA through three starts, and then a 8.79 ERA in five starts two years ago with the Baltimore Orioles. In his last two attempts, Rogers has allowed 12 hits, 6 walks, 3 home runs, and 4 earned runs.

The fact that Rogers gave up only 4 earned runs during that stretch was fortunate. It could have been a lot uglier. Not many pitchers can concede 12 hits and 6 walks in 12.1 innings and only give up 4 runs. Rogers is playing with fire right now, and the Red Sox might be able to burn him this evening. In a game I see getting into the double digits, the OVER is worth considering.


Red Sox vs. Nationals Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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