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Braves at Rockies MLB Pick – August 16th

It’s getaway day today, so there‘s a lighter slate of action across the MLB landscape today. There are some decent day games to look at, including a nice Gerrit Cole vs. Jimmy Nelson matchup with the Pirates and Brewers battling to stay in the NL Central mix.

When things are going bad, you see a winner go up in smoke in the ninth inning with one of the most dominant closers in baseball history allow his second home run in three days to push the total a run over the threshold. Alas, the Yankees still held on to beat the Mets by a 5-4 tally, as we came up one run short of snapping the losing skid.

Let’s try to snap the funk today with a much-needed slump buster.

Today’s MLB Pick:

Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies (Total: 11)
Mike Foltynewicz (10-7, 4.29 ERA) vs. Jon Gray (4-2, 4.92 ERA)

The Vegas total is set sky high tonight at eleven runs, but don’t tell Jon Gray that balls are supposed to fly out of Coors Field. The Rockies pitcher had prided himself on an ability to pitch effectively in the mile-high altitude and is unbeaten at Coors this season in four starts with a 3.00 ERA. In his career, he is 10-3 in his friendly home confines that so intimidates most opposing pitchers.

Jon Gray is 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA in two career starts against Atlanta, both coming in the 2016 season.

Meanwhile, the Braves will give the ball to Mike Foltynewicz who is coming off one of his roughest outings of his season and career. He lasted just 2 2/3 innings in St. Louis, allowing six runs and seven hits. He has made great strides this season and has delivered some excellent outings, turning in five quality starts in his last eight outings and allowing three or fewer runs in eight of his last ten outings. He will have his work cut out for him at Coors and against the Rockies powerful lineup, but he has been mostly up to the task this season. In his career against Colorado, he owns a 3.20 ERA and a 3.70 ERA in Coors with one start and two relief appearances.

There will be some runs tonight, but I think both pitchers will fare reasonably well. Both have handled Coors Field well in their brief careers, and a total of 11 gives us quite a bit of wiggle room.

Today’s MLB Pick: RUN TOTAL UNDER 11

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