Braves vs. Cardinals MLB Pick – May 24th

The St. Louis Cardinals host the Atlanta Braves for three days, as they play a three-game series this weekend at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals are coming off a double-header which they split against the Royals. The early game was a disaster, as Michael Wacha took an 8-2 loss in the afternoon. Things changed in a hurry in the next game with Adam Wainwright getting the Cardinals back on track and into the win column.

Homer Bailey was no match against the Cardinals in that matchup. He lasted just 1.2 innings after the Cardinals chased him out of the game with a 5-0 deficit. St. Louis needed that one to avoid losing their sixth game in seven attempts. Especially against a team like the Royals, it would have hurt to lose two in a row against them in the same day. Following a hot start by St. Louis, they’ve cooled off considerably. The Cards have gone 4-15 in their last 19 games to put them behind in the NL Central. The Cubs are currently in the lead, while the Brewers trail in 2nd.

The Cardinals are behind the Pirates as well at 25-24. That is what just 4 wins in 19 games will do to a team that was in a pretty good position not too long ago. It feels like the Cards slipped all the way back in the blink of an eye. The good thing about baseball is that you can have a cool run like that and still have a chance.

However, the Cards can’t have too many more of them playing in a highly competitive division. So for their sake, hopefully they got they got losing out of their system and turned over a new stone with the 10-3 win against the Royals. The Braves came out as winners in their most recent outing yesterday against the San Francisco Giants. It was their third win in four games, as they took a 3-1 series win over the Giants. The Braves will remain on the road over the weekend for this battle against the Cardinals. Head below for our free Braves vs. Cardinals pick.

Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Cardinals -150/Braves +130
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Mike Foltynewicz (0-3, 6.91 ERA)
  • Miles Mikolas (4-4, 4.88 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

It has been a slow moving 2019 for Mike Foltynewicz thus far. After putting up a career-high ERA in 2018, Foltynewicz has struggled to hit the same switch this season. He started the season on the shelf with an injury and was already behind the 8-ball. With big expectations looming as people look for an encore performance, Foltynewicz has failed to perform in his first five starts of the season. Atlanta need him if they want to have a chance against the Phillies in the NL East. So far so not good.

Foltynewicz enters St. Louis with an ERA of 6.91. That’s way off the pace of his previous season, which saw him finish with an ERA of 2.85. Though, that is only one season. To keep things in perspective, Foltynewicz never had his ERA below 4.00 before 2018.

He finished with ERA’s of 4.31 and 4.79 in 2016 and 2017. Is that more along the lines of what he is. Rather than what he did last season? Early indications haven’t promising to suggest that last season was for real, but there are miles to go in 2019.

He has found trouble in particular on the road this season. Note that he has posted an ERA 7.50 and 1.50 WHIP as a visiting pitcher. Not that he has been great at home, either, though. Foltynewicz has been off with an 8.10 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in his last three games.

He hasn’t been great against the Cards, as they have a .383 OBP and 7 home runs in 129 at-bats against Foltynewicz. Conversely, the Braves are hitting .231 with a .310 OBP and 2 home runs against Miles Mikolas in 52 attempts. He has a 1.98 ERA in three career outings against the Braves.

Mikolas is on the heels of a horrible performance against the Rangers, but he’s back home where he feels more comfortable. He holds an ERA of 3.00 and 0.79 WHIP at home compared to a 7.66 ERA and 1.79 WHIP on the road. Also note that the Cards are 20-6 in their last 26 games when Mikolas is on the bump pitching. Expect St. Louis to get the weekend started with a win on Friday night at home.

The Bet
CARDINALS
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.