Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets MLB Pick – August 4

The MLB is set up with another great slate of action throughout Thursday night. Thirteen games are up on the board throughout August 4. One of these games will be between the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets. These two teams have been solid on the season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will start at around 7:10 PM Eastern time.

Atlanta has earned a record of 63-42 throughout this season, which has them sitting in second place of the NL East. The Braves are coming off a loss in their last game, but have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games. Atlanta is three and a half games back on the division lead. The Braves will look to step up on the road early in this one. 

The Mets have put up a record of 66-38 so far on the season, which has them in the top spot of the NL East. New York is coming off a win in their last game and have earned an 8-2 record in the last 10 matchups. The Mets have a small lead on the division and will look to keep it. New York will look to remain hot at home on Thursday night.

These two teams are in a heated race for the NL East and will look for the win in this one. The Braves are coming off a tough loss, but will look to get back on track. New York has been hot as of late and will look to keep it going on Thursday. If either team can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Atlanta Braves +1 ½ (-200) +100 Over 8 (-115)
New York Mets -1 ½ (+170) -120 Under 8 (-105)
Team Data Atlanta Braves New York Mets
Overall Record 63-42 66-38
Away/ Home Record 26-20 31-17
Batting Average .249 .257
Batting Average Away/ Home .242 .252
ERA 3.57 3.56
ERA Away/ Home 3.69 3.27

Betting Trends

Atlanta Braves

  • 1-1 in August games
  • 5-5 when playing on Thursday
  • 24-17 against divisional opponents
  • 47-23 in night games
  • 38-31  against right handers
  • 30-10 after a loss
  • 21-20 against team with a winning record

New York Mets

  • 2-1 in August games
  • 8-1 when playing on a Thursday
  • 33-13 against division rivals
  • 42-23 in night games
  • 44-23 against right handed starters
  • 37-28 after a win
  • 21-18 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up seven times throughout this season. The first four games were in New York between May 2-4. These two teams both split those games. The next three game set was in Atlanta, where the Mets won two of the three games. The Braves have outscored New York 26-24 in the season series so far.

Offense

The Braves have been strong hitting the ball throughout the season. Atlanta has a .249 batting average, which is 10th in the league. The Braves have posted an on base percentage of .313, which is 16th in the MLB. Atlanta has earned a .755 OPS, which is 4th in the league. The Braves have a BA of .244 against righties.

New York has been strong at the plate as well on the season. The Mets have a batting average of .257, which is 5th in the MLB. New York has earned a .328 OBP, which is 3rd in the league. The Mets have put up an OPS of .735, which is 8th in the MLB. New York has hit .261 against right handers this season.

These two teams have both been strong at the plate and will look to get their offense going early. The Mets are coming off a 14 hit and 9 run performance on Wednesday, while Atlanta racked up 6 hits and 1 run. The Braves will look to step up early in this one. If either team can get some runs across quickly, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

I expect Kyle Wright to get the start at pitcher for Atlanta in this one. Wright has started in 20 games this season, going 13-4 in those matchups. He has posted a 2.93 ERA and a WHIP of 1.15 in those outings. Wright’s last start was against the Arizona Diamondbacks. He gave up five hits and two runs through five and two thirds innings in the win.

Carlos Carrasco will likely get the nod on the mound for the Mets on Thursday night. Carrasco has earned a record of 11-4 throughout his 20 starts this season. He has put up an ERA of 3.79 and a 1.31 WHIP in those games. Carrasco pitched seven and two thirds innings in his last start against the Miami Marlins. He gave up four hits in the win.

These two pitchers have been strong and will look for a big win. Wright has won six of his last seven starts, while Carrasco has won his last three decisions. The Braves have a slight edge in the bullpen in this one. Atlanta’s relievers have a 3.21 ERA, which is 5th in the league. New York’s bullpen has a combined ERA of 3.61, which is 10th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Mets have been a bit better on the season, but Atlanta will look to close that gap with a win. The Braves have the better pitching and will look for their bats to step up. If Atlanta can get the early lead on the road, I think they will earn the win.

Bovada has New York listed as a -120 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Mets will win this game around 54.6 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with both teams competing for the top of the division. As slight underdogs in this one, I like the value on the Braves to earn the win.

The Bet
Atlanta Braves
+100
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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