Braves vs. Mets MLB Pick – September 28th

There is nothing left for the Atlanta Braves to do except wait on the postseason and their opponent. We already know that the Braves will be going into the playoffs as winners of the NL East. They dominated the competition in the division, with no threat in sight. The Philadelphia Phillies were supposed to be their greatest threat, but the season was a horrific failure for them. Bryce Harper couldn’t help, as the Braves rolled and look to be a decent contender in the postseason.

They’re not a playoff favorite by any means, though it also wouldn’t surprise me to see them in the World Series. For as bad of chokers as the Dodgers are, don’t discount the Braves in October. They have plenty of hitters and a talented rotation that could surprise a few people.

Their opponent in the NLDS has yet to be determined. We do know that it’s going to come down to the Cardinals or Brewers. One of those two teams will be giving it a go against the Braves. We’ll have to wait for the conclusion of the NL Wild Card Game to get a definite answer.

The Braves are looking to finish up the next two days and move on. Their focus is not on the New York Mets. This was supposed to be a big series for the Mets, but they faltered down the stretch and their final matchup is nothing more than a glorified spring training game.

Who would the Braves rather face in the NLDS? The Brewers have been on fire and the Cardinals aren’t a team I’d be happy to see in the playoffs, so they shouldn’t worry about it and focus on themselves. They are coming off a 4-2 loss against the Mets and are 1-3 in their previous four games, so maybe it’s time to stop coasting. The Mets are scheduled to start Steven Matz on Saturday. Mike Foltynewicz, who has been pitching extremely well, is expected for the Braves. Head below for our free Braves vs. Mets pick.

Atlanta Braves vs. N.Y. Mets Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Mets -115/Braves -105
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Mike Foltynewicz (8-5, 4.46 ERA)
  • Steven Matz (10-10, 4.37 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Perhaps the best sign that we’ve seen out of Atlanta in the last month or so has been the play of Mike Foltynewicz. Struggling for most of the season, Foltynewicz finally began to figure things out and get hot. Foltynewicz was a big weapon for the Braves in 2018 and they were happy to have him back on board for this year. Things got off to a rocky start, though, and the Braves were getting worried about Folty.

However, since about mid-August, Foltynewicz has been on fire and pitching like the same guy who posted an ERA of 2.85 in 2018. It’s perfect timing for the Braves going into the postseason. Foltynewicz will look to stay hot against the Mets at Citi Field on Saturday. He hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in an outing since August 11th against the Marlins. Foltynewicz has surrendered 2 or fewer runs in seven straight starts. In five of those seven showings, he allowed 1 or no runs.

Foltynewicz heads into Saturday with a 0.86 ERA and 0.57 WHIP in his last three outings. The Illinois native has posted a 0.69 ERA and 0.65 WHIP in the month of September. To make matters more difficult on the Mets, they are hitting just .149 against Folty in 134 at-bats. This looks like a nice opportunity for him to gather more momentum going into October.

Steven Matz has been terrific at Citi Field in 2019, so he could be the opening to a win for the Mets on Saturday. Matz has been sharp with a 2.47 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 83.2 innings this season at home. After struggling against the Marlins in his most recent effort, look for Matz to come back strong on Saturday. In a game without much meaning, look for this matchup to stay UNDER the total.

The Bet
UNDER 8.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.