Braves vs. Mets MLB Pick – September 29th

The final game of the season for the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets occurs on Sunday afternoon at Citi Field. The Mets rode a 3-run 3rd inning to a 3-0 win. There wasn’t any offense except that inning. Pete Alonso went deep for his 53rd home run of the season to break a rookie record. The previous record wasn’t broken too long ago, as Aaron Judge was responsible for 52 long balls in 2017.

Alonso will enter next season getting the respect he deserves. I think he went through this season without too many people recognizing his ability. Let’s be honest, if he were on the other New York team, he’d be getting more accolades. In any event, the Mets are not going to the postseason, so Alonso will have to wait to play meaningful baseball in October.

Sunday will be the finale of an electric rookie campaign. It will also be the finale for the entire team, as they failed to convert their postseason push. Everyone was confused by the Marcus Stroman trade, and then they thought it was wise once the Mets got going, now it’s looking like a bad trade again. Most sports fans are fickle and just seem to like the flavor of the week, so no surprise.

The Mets had an opportunity to be sellers at the deadline and get some nice prospects in exchange for Zack Wheeler and Noah Syndergaard. Steven Matz was also on the table, but all they did is deal Jason Vargas and bring in Stroman from the Blue Jays.

It didn’t make much sense and naturally it didn’t pay off for the Mets, as they overthought that one. Syndergaard, who has been useless of late, making the decision to keep him looking more foolish, is scheduled to pitch against Mike Soroka of the Braves this afternoon. Head below for our free Braves vs. Mets pick.

Atlanta Braves vs. N.Y. Mets Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Mets -115/Braves -105
  • O/U: 8

Pitching Matchup:

  • Mike Soroka (13-4, 2.60 ERA)
  • Noah Syndergaard (10-8, 4.30 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Much to his displeasure, Noah Syndergaard was on the trade block at the deadline. The Mets never got a deal they believed was fair, so the team ultimately kept him and went in the opposite direction with the trade for Marcus Stroman. Syndergaard was pitching well immediately after the deadline, but has since been hitting some hard regression. I’m not sure if he’s just going through the motions after the Mets were essentially removes from the postseason or he isn’t hitting his spots on the bump.

It could be a mix of both, but either way, Syndergaard has been struggling lately with a 6.89 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in his previous three outings. He’s allowed 4 runs in each of his last four outings. Syndergaard hasn’t allowed fewer than 4 runs in a start since. In his last two starts, Syndergaard has allowed a total of 20 hits in 10.2 innings of work. He hasn’t cared for Citi Field this season either. Syndergaard has posted an ERA of 5.10 and 1.33 WHIP in 100.2 innings of work at home in Queens.

The Braves have done well against Syndergaard, with a .275 batting average and 15 runs scored in 160 at-bats. They are going to be careful avoiding a serious injury, especially to Mike Soroka who has been on fire as a rookie. Soroka holds an ERA of 2.60 and 1.09 WHIP on the season. He has been even better on the road, where Soroka has boasted a 1.35 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. With a win, he will end the season with a record of 8-1 as a visiting pitcher.

Atlanta haven’t been playing their best brand of baseball leading up to the postseason. They just look a bit bored since winning the NLDS. The Braves go into Sunday with a mark of 1-4 in their last five games. I think in their final game of the regular season, the Braves are going to show up and start putting on their postseason faces. In one final playoff audition, the Braves look sharp and get a win behind their electric rookie.

The Bet
BRAVES
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.