Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals MLB Pick – July 17

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball action on July 17. Fourteen games are up on the board as we enter the All-Star break. One of these games will be between the Atlanta Braves and the Washington Nationals. These two teams have had different records throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 1:35 PM Eastern time.

Atlanta has earned a record of 56-37 throughout this season, which has them sitting in second place of the NL East. The Braves have won three games in a row and are 7-3 throughout their last 10 games. Atlanta is two and a half games back on the top seeded New York Mets. The Braves will look for another big win as they enter the break.

The Nationals have put up a record of 30-63 so far on the season, which has them in last place of the NL East. Washington has lost nine games in a row and will look to end that streak entering this one. The Nationals have fallen far out of the playoff picture, but will look to get going early. Washington will look for a faster start at home in this one.

These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings, but will look for a big win as they meet up on Sunday afternoon. The Braves will look to remain hot as they enter the All-Star break right behind the Mets. Washington will look to end their own losing streak before the break. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Atlanta Braves -1 ½ (-165) -280 Over 9 (-110)
Washington Nationals +1 ½ (+140) +225 Under 9 (-110)
Team Data Atlanta Braves Washington Nationals
Overall Record 56-37 30-63
Away/ Home Record 25-17 14-36
Batting Average .249 .248
Batting Average Away/ Home .244 .239
ERA 3.57 5.15
ERA Away/ Home 3.48 4.68

Betting Trends

Atlanta Braves

  • 12-4 in July games
  • 6-8 when playing on Sunday
  • 22-13 against divisional opponents
  • 14-15 in day games
  • 33-28 against right handers
  • 29-27 after a win
  • 35-18 against team with a losing record

Washington Nationals

  • 1-14 in July
  • 7-7 when playing on Sunday
  • 7-36 against division rivals
  • 13-23 in day games
  • 19-41 against right handed starters
  • 20-43 after a loss
  • 13-38 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up 12 times throughout this season. Atlanta hosted the first three games, but the Nationals won two of the three on the road. The Braves have won the next nine games since the first series, six of those wins being on the road. Atlanta has outscored 85-48 throughout the season series so far.


The Braves have been solid at the plate throughout the season. Atlanta has a .249 batting average, which is 9th in the league. The Braves have posted an on base percentage of .314, which is 17th in the MLB. Atlanta has earned a .759 OPS, which is 4th in the league. The Braves have a BA of .246 against righties this season.

Washington has been solid hitting the ball so far on the season. The Nationals have a batting average of .248, which is 11th in the MLB. Washington has earned a .317 OBP, which is 13th in the league. The Nationals have put up an OPS of .691, which is 18th in the MLB. Washington has hit .248 against right handers.

These two teams have been solid at the plate on the season, with Atlanta showing the better slugging percentage to boost their OPS. The Braves have also picked up their hitting once again in this winning streak. The Nationals will need to get their own bats going if they want to get out of the losing column. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

Spencer Strider will likely get the start at pitcher for the Braves in this one. Strider has appeared in 20 games this season, going 4-2 in those matchups. He has posted a 2.56 ERA and a WHIP of 1.02 in those outings. Strider’s last start was against the New York Mets. He gave up five hits and one run through four and two thirds innings in the no decision.

I expect Erasmo Ramirez to get the start on the mound for Washington on Monday night. Ramirez has earned a record of 1-1 throughout his 31 appearances this season. He has put up an ERA of 4.57 and a 1.43 WHIP in those games played. Ramirez gave up two hits and one run through two innings in his last appearance against the Braves.

These two pitchers have been solid throughout this season and will look to step up early in this one. Atlanta has the edge in the bullpen as well entering this matchup. The Braves relievers have a combined ERA of 3.13, which is 4th in the league. Washington’s bullpen has a 4.35 ERA, which is 25th in the MLB. Both teams will look for pitching to lead them early.

Pick Overview

These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings entering this matchup and will look to get going early in this one. Atlanta has won nine games in a row against the Nationals, but I think Washington can bounce back in this one. The Nationals can match the Braves at the plate and if they can get strong pitching, they could pull off the upset.

Bovada has Atlanta listed as a -280 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Braves will win this game around 73.7 percent of the time. I think that this line is way too big for a road divisional game. Washington is not gonna get swept by Atlanta for the rest of the season. If the Nationals can get an early lead, I like their chances to get the win.

The Bet
Washington Nationals
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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