Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick – July 26

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball throughout Tuesday. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout July 26. One of these games will be between the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies. These two teams have been strong this season and will look for a big win. This game will start at around 7:05 PM Eastern time.

Atlanta has earned a record of 58-40 throughout this season, which has them sitting in second place of the NL East. The Braves have lost their last two games, but have gone 6-4 in their last 10. Atlanta is two games back on the top seeded New York Mets entering this one. The Braves will look to close the gap with a big win on the road.

The Phillies have put up a record of 50-46 so far on the season, which has them in third place of the NL East. Philadelphia is coming off a win in their last game, but are 4-6 throughout their last 10 games. The Phillies are seven games back on the Braves and half a game back on a wild card spot. Philadelphia will look for another big win at home on Tuesday night.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season. The Braves have dropped their last two games, but will look to get back on track. Philadelphia ended a losing streak with Monday’s win and will look to build off of it. If either team can come out strong on Tuesday, it could be enough to lead them to the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Atlanta Braves -1 ½ (+140) -122 Over 7 ½ (-110)
Philadelphia Phillies +1 ½ (-165) +102 Under 7 ½ (-110)
Team Data Atlanta Braves Philadelphia Phillies
Overall Record 58-40 50-46
Away/ Home Record 25-19 25-24
Batting Average .248 .245
Batting Average Away/ Home .243 .249
ERA 3.64 3.79
ERA Away/ Home 3.64 3.64

Betting Trends

Atlanta Braves

  • 14-7 in July games
  • 10-5 when playing on a Tuesday
  • 22-15 against divisional opponents
  • 43-23 in night games
  • 34-29 against right handed starters
  • 28-10 after a loss
  • 19-18 against team with a winning record

Philadelphia Phillies

  • 10-9 in July
  • 3-11 when playing on Tuesday
  • 19-19 against division rivals
  • 32-32 in night games
  • 34-33 against right handers
  • 29-20 after a win
  • 29-28 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up eight times throughout the season. The first four games were in Atlanta with each team winning two of the games. The next three shifted to Philadelphia. The Braves won two of the three on the road. The Phillies opened up this series with a win. Philadelphia has outscored Atlanta 44-35 in the season series.

Offense

The Braves have been strong with the bats in their hands this season. Atlanta has a batting average of .248, which is 11th in the league. The Braves have earned an OBP of .313, which is 17th in the MLB. Atlanta has posted a .754 OPS, which is 4th in the league. The Braves have a BA of .244 against right handers this season.

Philadelphia has been solid at the plate throughout the season. The Phillies have a .245 batting average, which is 15th in the MLB. Philadelphia has put up a .310 on base percentage, which is 20th in the league. The Phillies have earned an OPS of .725, which is 9th in the MLB. Philadelphia has hit .243 against righties.

Atlanta has the edge at the plate entering this matchup. The Braves have been solid hitting the ball and will look to keep their offense going early in this one. Atlanta earned 8 hits and 4 runs in the first game of this set. The Phillies had 12 hits and 6 runs in the win. If either team can get some hits early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

Spencer Strider will likely get the start at pitcher for Atlanta in this one. Strider has appeared in 21 games this season, going 4-3 in those matchups. He has put up an ERA of 3.03 and a 1.05 WHIP in those games. Strider pitched four innings in his last start against the Washington Nationals. He gave up four hits and five runs in the losing effort.

I expect Aaron Nola to get the nod on the mound for the Phillies on Tuesday night. Nola has earned a record of 6-7 throughout his 19 starts this season. He has posted a 3.13 ERA and a WHIP of 0.91 in those outings. Nola’s last start was against the Miami Marlins. He gave up four hits through eight and a third innings in the win.

These two pitchers have been strong this season and will look to get going early in this one. Strider is coming off a loss in his last start, while Nola will look to build on his big win. The Braves have the edge in the bullpen in this one. Atlanta’s relievers have combined for a 3.15 ERA, which is 5th in the MLB. Philadelphia’s bullpen has an ERA of 3.85, which is 13th in the league.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been strong this season and will look for a big win in this divisional tilt. Philadelphia is at home in this one and will look to build on their last win. The Braves have the better hitting in this one and will look for Strider to bounce back. If Atlanta can come out fast, they could steal this one on the road.

Bovada has the Braves listed as a -122 against the money line in this one. This implies that Atlanta will win this game around 55 percent of the time. I agree with this line as the Braves have the better bats and pitching. Atlanta will look to attack Nola early in this one. As slight favorites, I like the value on the Braves.

The Bet
Atlanta Braves
-122
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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