Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick – June 30

The MLB is set up with another great slate of action throughout June 30. Eight games are up on the board throughout Thursday. One of these games will be between the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies. These two teams have been strong this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 6:05 PM Eastern time on MLB Network.

Atlanta has earned a record of 44-32 throughout this season, which has them in second place of the NL East. The Braves have won two games in a row and five of their last seven games. Atlanta is three games back on the top seeded New York Mets. The Braves will look to step up early in this one as they try to continue to gain ground.

The Phillies have put up a record of 39-37 so far on the season, which has them sitting in third place of the NL East. Philadelphia has lost their last two games and are 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Phillies are eight games back on the top spot in the division and three games back on the wild card. Philadelphia will look for a big home win in this one.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Braves have been really strong as of late and will look to continue to climb up the standings. Philadelphia will look to get back on track after two straight losses at home. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Atlanta Braves +1 ½ (-160) +130 Over 8 ½ (-110)
Philadelphia Phillies -1 ½ (+135) -155 Under 8 ½ (-110)
Team Data Atlanta Braves Philadelphia Phillies
Overall Record 44-32 39-37
Away/ Home Record 20-15 19-19
Batting Average .247 .245
Batting Average Away/ Home .242 .244
ERA 3.68 3.89
ERA Away/ Home 3.26 3.55

Betting Trends

Atlanta Braves

  • 21-5 in June games
  • 4-3 when playing on Thursday
  • 15-10 against divisional opponents
  • 33-19 in night games
  • 25-24 against right handers
  • 22-22 after a win
  • 15-13 against team with a winning record

Philadelphia Phillies

  • 18-8 in June
  • 6-3 when playing on a Thursday
  • 12-18 against division rivals
  • 25-26 in night games
  • 25-27 against right handed starters
  • 15-21 after a loss
  • 23-23 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up six times throughout this season. The first four games were in Atlanta between May 23-26. Both teams won two games in that set early. Matt Olson had two home runs on Tuesday night as the Braves won 5-3. Adam Duvall had a homer and two RBI’s in Wednesday’s game to give Atlanta a 4-1 win.


The Braves have been solid throughout this season hitting the ball. Atlanta has a .247 batting average, which is 11th in the league. The Braves have put up an on base percentage of .313, which is 16th in the MLB. Atlanta has earned a .753 OPS, which is 4th in the league. The Braves have a BA of .240 against right handers.

Philadelphia has been solid at the plate as well so far on the season. The Phillies have a batting average of .245, which is 13th in the MLB. Philadelphia has earned a .315 OBP, which is 15th in the league. The Phillies have posted an OPS of .726, which is 9th in the MLB this season. Philadelphia has hit .243 against righties this season.

Atlanta has a slight edge in the OPS and batting average entering this one and will look to keep their bats going early. The Braves have nine runs over the last two games, while Philadelphia has only mustered up four. If either team can hit well early in this one, it could be enough to grab the win on Thursday night.

Pitching Preview

Ian Anderson will likely get the start on the mound for Atlanta on Thursday night. Anderson has started in 14 games this season, going 6-4 in those matchups. He has posted a 4.60 ERA and a WHIP of 1.453 in those starts. Anderson pitched four innings in his last start against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He gave up six hits and four runs in the loss.

I expect Aaron Nola to get the nod at pitcher for the Phillies in this one. Nola has earned a record of 4-5 throughout his 15 starts this season. He has put up an ERA of 2.98 and a 0.900 WHIP in his outings. Nola’s last start was against the San Diego Padres. He gave up seven hits and one run through seven innings in the losing decision.

Nola has been the better pitcher throughout this season and will look for a quick start in this one. The Braves have the edge in the bullpen entering this game. Atlanta’s relievers have a 3.05 ERA, which is 3rd in the MLB. Philadelphia’s bullpen has a combined ERA of 4.08, which is 19th in the league. Both teams will look to pitching to lead them early in this game.

Pick Overview

The Phillies have struggled in the first two games of this set against Atlanta and will look to bounce back in this one. Philadelphia has the better starting pitcher on the mound and will look for their offense to attack Anderson early. If the Phillies can get an early lead on Thursday night, I think they can hold on for a big win in the NL East race.

Bovada has Philadelphia listed as a -155 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Phillies will win this game around 60.8 percent of the time. I agree with this line, but there is little value in it. Philadelphia is also listed at -1 ½ for +135. I think the Phillies will get their bats going against a struggling Anderson early and will keep Atlanta quiet.

The Bet
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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