gravatar

Braves vs. Phillies Pick – MLB September 9th

After David Buchanan blew up against the Arizona Diamondbacks a few weeks ago, I never thought we’d see him in a Phillies’ jersey again. Buchanan allowed 11 runs on 11 hits in that game in only 1.2 innings. I personally thought that was the end for him, but after a brief stint in AAA, Buchanan is back with the Phillies. He wasn’t pitching very well before he gave up those 11 runs, so it isn’t like that was just one bad start for him. After such a bad streak, and being sent to the minors, this follow-up start has to be good or that may be the end of the line. The Phillies aren’t in any hunt for the postseason, so I wouldn’t be surprised if they just let him finish out the season. If they can’t upgrade from Buchanan next year then they’re going to be in trouble once again, finding the postseason will be difficult. The Phillies sent long-time mainstay of the Philadelphia lineup, Chase Utley, packing to the Dodgers. It could be a nice move for the Dodgers, who have a reliable veteran option in their lineup now. For the Phillies, they know they have to look ahead to the future.

The Braves season has been a throwaway as well. Nothing too memorable or anything to be excited about with the Braves. All they’ve really done is frustrate sports bettors on a regular basis. They have seemed to give up lately, losing twelve straight games before getting a win against the Phillies, only to lose again the next night. The Braves are a whopping 2-21 in their last twenty-three games. Yes, giving up is a bit of an understatement. The Phillies did the right thing by letting Chase Utley go to a team with a chance to be successful in the playoffs and win a World Series. Julio Teheran will get the start for the Braves, their supposed ace. Teheran has shown off ace like qualities in previous seasons, but he hasn’t given the Braves much in 2015. He hasn’t been very ace worthy that is for sure. Find my pick by reading below.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Julio Teheran (9-7, 4.51 ERA) vs. David Buchanan (2-7, 9.00 ERA)

Teheran figured to be the workhorse of the Braves’ rotation. With injuries plaguing them, he had to be the guy. Instead, Teheran has in fact been a little bit of a liability. Teheran posted a 3.20 ERA and 2.89 ERA in his last two seasons, his first two as a regular starter of the Braves’ rotation. He hasn’t been able to duplicate that kind of success in 2015, though. Teheran holds a 4.51 ERA entering tonight and has been the victim of some brutal starts on the road. In this respect, he holds a 5.95 ERA on the road, with a 1.65 WHIP and .380 OBA. He’s another one in a long series of players that has been a disappointing fixture on the Braves this season.

In the defense of Teheran, he looks like a Cy Young candidate compared to David Buchanan. Buchanan is making his eleventh start of the season, his last ten being absolute train wrecks. His worst stuff came in his most recent starts, completing his last three outings with a 14.54 ERA and 2.46 WHIP, along with a 4.57 OBA. He is therefore allowing more than 2 runners on base per inning. The “bright” spot in his season has been the 7.24 ERA he has posted at home. If the Braves can’t hit Buchanan they truly are hopeless. Both teams have been playing towards the OVER this season. The Phillies are 75-52 to the OVER, while the Braves are 72-58 to the OVER. There should be some runs with these two on the mound. Take a look at the OVER 8.5 tonight.

PICK: OVER 8.5 RUNS (-110)