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Braves vs. Reds MLB Pick – June 3rd

I don’t know of any standard online sportsbooks that routinely take wagers for “total strikeouts in a game” but if they DID, you can assume the Dodgers and Brewers combined FORTY TWO last night would have cashed the over…

Clayton Kershaw became the second-faster pitcher in MLB history to record his 2,000 strikeout (only Randy Johnson’s 262 games was quicker), but that impressive milestone is likely lost in the bat-baffling insanity that ensued. The forty-two combined strikeouts (12 innings) were a National League record, and the only two games with more overall both went eighteen innings. The Dodgers eventually won 2-1, but the final score was way down the list of notables.

Meanwhile, our Giants pick provided far less stress as the slight underdogs rolled 10-0 behind a complete-game shutout from Ty Blach. Hopefully we have put a miserable May behind us with a third straight winner (two underdogs) as we have finally moved back on the plus-side of the money ledger for the season. Let’s keep it rolling today.

Today’s MLB Pick:

Atlanta Braves +144 at Cincinnati Reds -146 (Total: 9.5)
R.A. Dickey (3-4, 4.95 ERA) vs. Scott Feldman (4-4, 4.26 ERA)

The Reds won in dramatic fashion last night, scoring two runs in the bottom of the ninth, including the tying run on a wild pitch with two outs, to force extra innings and eventually won in the bottom of the tenth on a Devin Mesoraco walk-off homerun. They will try to keep the momentum rolling tonight against the 42-year old knuckleballer, R.A. Dickey. The Reds haven’t seen the knuckleballer before outside of Votto and Cozart, but both have had some success in the past. Votto is 3 for 6 with a homer and five walks and Cozart is 3 of 9 with two doubles. Cozart enters tonight with the longest consecutive games reaching base streak at 24 games.

The Braves have dropped five of their last six road games and have failed to score more than three runs in all but one of those games. For the season, they average more than a half run less than Cincinnati with similar runs allowed. Dickey will have his hands full tonight with a potent Reds lineup that features four players with double-digit homeruns already this season. If they knuckleball isn’t sharp, they tend to leave the yard. Add in the homer-yielding Great American Ballpark, and tonight has the potential to be a fun night for the Reds.

Scott Feldman has been up and down, but has been good in his last two home starts, allowing just a single run over 15 innings. He had one big time home bobble against the Pirates, allowing seven runs. Aside from that, he hasn’t allowed more than two runs at home since Opening Day.

There is some value in the runline tonight, because if the Reds DO win, they are likely to win big. Dickey has allowed three or more runs in eight of his last nine starts, and Atlanta’s bullpen ranks tenth in the National League – they’ve allowed extra runs in every one of Dickey’s last ten starts.

Today’s MLB Pick: CINCINNATI REDS RUNLINE -1.5 (+135)

 

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