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Braves vs. Rockies Pick MLB – July 10th

We notched our third straight winner last night thanks to David Price and the Tigers. It was our sixth winner in seven games and 15th winning pick out the last twenty. We have a nice run heading into the All-Star Break, so let’s make this final weekend of the unofficial first half of the season continue to count.

Meanwhile, Zach Greinke’s scoreless inning streak is getting worth noting. The streak is now up to 35.2 innings and it will be interesting to see if Greinke gets the nod over Scherzer for the start Tuesday night in Cincinnati. It’s still a long ways before Orel Hershiser needs to get concerned, but if he can reel off one more shutout, his next start will be absolute must-see television for baseball fans.

Let’s see if we can move effortlessly from Greinke’s perfection to some perfection of our own and keep this winning streak rolling…

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Today’s Free Pick:

Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies (TOTAL: 10)

Shelby Miller (5-4, 2.07 ERA) vs. Jorge De La Rosa (likely starter)

Shelby Miller has very quietly been putting together one of the best seasons in the National League, but his team’s lack of success and his lack of run support leave him completely out of the question where the answers are “Zach Greinke, Max Scherzer, Gerrit Cole.” However, his 2.07 ERA is stellar, and it makes today’s run total of 10 feel a little too inflated, even with the Coors Field factor.

The Rockies score plenty of runs, an average of 4.52 per nine innings, but that number swells to a ridiculous 5.58 with a .297 batting average at home. That’s a lot to contend with, but Miller is one of the top pitchers in the league and I think he will get through the start alright. He pitched well in his two previous starts against the Rockies, and I’ll bet on pitching over hitting tonight.

Ditto for whomever the Rockies eventually settle upon tonight. It is likely De La Rosa, but whomever they trot out, I don’t have a ton of confidence in the Braves ability to put up five or six runs. It’s just a pretty pedestrian offense, especially with Freddie Freeman injured. They’ve been more prodigious in their last five games, but still have only scored more than five runs in a game once in their last ten games. If one assumes Shelby Miller can keep things under control, and I do assume he will, then a run total of 10 is awfully ambitious. I’ll take the total to tuck just under tonight in Coors.

Free Pick: Run TOTAL UNDER 10