Brewers vs. Astros MLB Pick – June 11th

A big time series in Houston, as a contender of the National League and American League meet at Minute Maid Park. The Milwaukee Brewers hope to extend their winning streak to five games in Houston against the Astros. Milwaukee haven’t been going anywhere in the NL Central and the Cubs are likely going to have to deal with them all season.

Christian Yelich has provided the Brew Crew with another level offensively, as he has his eyes set on another NL MVP award. Yelich is the defending MVP in the conference and has been on fire with power and agility for the Brewers. The Brewers may have an edge over the Astros with Yelich. But from the top to the bottom, they absolutely do not have an edge in the pitching department. The Brewers must address their pitching woes, or at least stay healthy, if they want to edge out the Cubs and go far in the postseason.

Zach Davies has been their only standout option in the rotation who is healthy at the moment. Brandon Woodruff hasn’t been bad as well, but with Gio Gonzalez injured, there has been a lot of pressure on everyone else to do their job. A healthy Gonzalez can give them a chance at the NL Central, but a trade is likely going to be in order to knock off the best teams in Major League Baseball.

Freddy Peralta has bounced between the rotation and bullpen depending on what their starter situation is like. Peralta will be called on to make his eighth start of the season tonight. He has only made two starts since May 13th. After neutralizing the Marlins across 6 innings five days ago, the Brewers will give Peralta consecutive starts.

Brad Peacock has made the most out of his promotion to the rotation with the departure of Charlie Morton in the offseason. While Morton has been on fire in Tampa, Peacock has made the transition easier for the Astros. Head below for our free Brewers vs. Astros pick.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Astros -135/Brewers +115
  • O/U: 9

Pitching Matchup:

  • Freddy Peralta (3-2, 5.11 ERA)
  • Brad Peacock (5-3, 3.20 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Charlie Morton finished with an ERA of 3.13 last season with the Astros. Peacock currently has a 3.20, so they’ve been getting similar production out of him. However, Morton is having himself a season in his first season with the Rays. He has a 2.10 ERA and hasn’t lost a game yet, pitching like he has something to prove. That said, the Astros must be content with what they’re getting out of Peacock as their fourth option in the rotation. Former Brewer, Wade Miley, has paid off as a tremendous acquisition as well.

Peacock has been a force in Houston at Minute Maid in 2019. He has had control with an ERA of 2.38 and 0.97 WHIP at home this season. Note that in his last three games in Houston, which encompasses 18 innings, Peacock hasn’t allowed a run. He’s given up just 9 hits in that span, too.

If we want to go back further to four starts ago at home, he’s allowed only a run in 24 innings of play. The Brewers haven’t seen much of Peacock, but are hitting 1-for-10 with 1 Lorenzo Cain RBI. They have been swinging the bats well, though, with at least 5 runs scored during their four-game winning streak.

Peralta gets an injured Astros’ offense, but even then, they’re better than the Marlins team he just pitched great against. In his last three starts, he’s posted an ERA of 5.14 and 1.57 WHIP. Between his start against the Phillies on May 13th and his most recent against the Marlins, Peralta was up and down as a reliever. He takes on an Astros team who know how to win at home. They hold a record of 24-9 at home in Houston, while they are just 16-15 on the road in 2019. The Astros should be able to get it done on Tuesday night at Minute Maid Park.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.