Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves MLB Pick – Game 3

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball throughout Monday. Four playoff games are up on the board throughout October 11. One of these matchups will be between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Atlanta Braves. These two teams will look to come out strong in this one and take the series lead. This game will throw the first pitch at around 1:10 PM Eastern time.

Milwaukee finished out the regular season with a record of 95-67, which had them finish in the top spot of the NL Central. The Brewers are all tied up at 1-1 through the first two games of this series. Milwaukee lost Game 2 and will look to bounce back after having Sunday afternoon off. The Brewers will look to get the bats going in this one.

The Braves put up a record of 88-73 throughout the regular season, which had them earn the top spot of the NL East and the third seed. Atlanta was able to force a split through the first two games in Milwaukee. The Braves will now look to take over this series with a win on Monday afternoon. Atlanta will look to earn a second straight win in this one.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a huge win on Tuesday. The first two games of this playoff series have been tightly contested pitching duels. Atlanta has proven that they can pitch with a very dangerous Brewers team. Now the Braves will look to take the lead on this series with a win in front of their home crowd.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Milwaukee Brewers +1 ½ (-215) -103 Over 8 (-110)
Atlanta Braves -1 ½ (+185) -107 Under 8 (-110)

 

Team Data Milwaukee Brewers Atlanta Braves
Overall Record 95-67 88-73
Away/ Home Record 50-31 42-38
Batting Average .233 .244
Batting Average Away/ Home .244 .248
ERA 3.50 3.88
ERA Away/ Home 3.28 4.05

Betting Trends

Milwaukee Brewers

  • 24-16 when listed as an underdog
  • 29-11 against run line as an underdog
  • 19-12 as road underdog
  • 33-34 after a loss
  • 1-4 in October
  • 7-8 when playing on Monday
  • 17-11 when playing after day off
  • 41-25 in day games
  • 2-8 after getting shut out

Atlanta Braves

  • 69-48 when listed as favorite
  • 47-70 against run line as favorite
  • 36-34 as home favorite
  • 46-42 after a win
  • 3-2 in October
  • 6-7 when playing on Monday
  • 14-11 when playing after day off
  • 26-22 in day games
  • 10-8 after getting shut out

These two teams met up six times throughout the regular season. Both teams were able to go 3-3 in those matchups. The Braves outscored Milwaukee 34-26 in those games though. The Brewers won Game 1 of this series 2-1, while Atlanta earned a 3-0 win in the second matchup. The first two games were lower scoring, which favors Milwaukee and the Braves will look to flip that in Game 3.

Offense

The Brewers have not had a great start to the postseason at the plate. Milwaukee has earned a batting average of .183. The Brewers have also posted a .508 OPS throughout the first two games of this series. Milwaukee also has two runs through those two matchups.

Atlanta has been a bit better overall with the bats in their hands in this series. The Braves have a .175 batting average in this series. Atlanta has also earned an OPS of .559 in the first two games. The Braves have hit in four runs to open up this series.

The Braves were the better team with the bats in their hands throughout the regular season and will look to take over in Game 3. I expect a bit more offense in Game 3 as both teams feel the need for this win. If this game gets higher scoring, it favors Atlanta, who can change the game with a swing of the bat all down their lineup. The Brewers will look to shut them down though on the road.

Pitching Preview

Freddy Peralta will likely get the nod at pitcher for Milwaukee in this one. Peralta earned a record of 10-5 throughout his 28 games played this season. He put up a 2.81 ERA and a WHIP of 0.97 in those games. Peralta has appeared in four innings of playoff baseball. He has posted an ERA of 2.25 and a 1.00 WHIP in those playoff performances.

I expect Ian Anderson to get the start on the mound for the Braves on Monday afternoon. Anderson started 24 games throughout the regular season, going 9-5 in those outings. He earned an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.23. Anderson has gone 2-0 through four playoff starts. He has a 0.96 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in those starts.

These two pitchers are coming off strong regular seasons and will look to continue their playoff success early in their careers. Atlanta’s bullpen has been great to open up this series, giving up a 0.00 ERA through five innings. The Brewers relievers have earned an ERA of 1.50 through six innings. Both teams will look for another big day on the mound in this one.

Pick Overview

The Braves are coming back home off a big win in Game 2. I think that Atlanta can build off that performance in this one. This game has a feeling of a bit more offense, which I think favors the Braves. Atlanta’s bats have been strong late in the season and if they can chase Peralta early, I think they can win this one.

BetOnline has Atlanta listed as a -107 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Braves will win this game around 51.7 percent of the time. I think that this line could be bigger with Atlanta coming home. The Braves will be excited to have their home fans back in this one and I think it will give them a boost. As slight home favorites, I am taking Atlanta to go up 2-1 in this series.

The Bet
Atlanta Braves
-107
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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