Brewers vs. Cardinals MLB Pick – August 19th

The Milwaukee Brewers will head to St. Louis after a couple of wild days in Washington against the Nationals. Saturday night was a good wild, but Sunday was a crazy bad day for the Brewer pitching yesterday afternoon. The Brewers outlasted the Nats in 14 innings for a 15-14 win in a fun game for the fans. It wasn’t a fun game at all for the bullpens.

The Brewers’ bullpen took the lengthy affair harder. Their tired pitching staff got hammered yesterday afternoon as well, allowing 16 runs in a 16-8 loss. Milwaukee added 4 9th inning runs to soften the blow to make the score a little more respectable.

Chase Anderson got off to a terrible start Sunday to set the wheels in motion for a tough day on the bump. Anderson allowed 10 earned runs in just 2.1 innings and then Aaron Wilkerson was tagged for 5 earned runs in 4.1 innings. The offense was not going to be making that up, so it was an early loss for the Brewers in that one.

The Brewers are right in the middle of a tight NL Central and wildcard race in the National League. They have a good chance of winning one of the two or nothing at all. This is a vital series for the Brewers and Cardinals.

Between the Brewers, Cubs, and Cardinals there are only two games separating everyone in the NL Central. The Reds and Pirates are out, but everyone else is in play in the division. With a strong series over the Cardinals and the Cubs slipping up this week, the Brewers could be atop the NL Central by the end of the week. A little easier said than done, though.

Zach Davies, who was the best pitcher in the Brewers’ rotation, will look to respond after struggling mightily recently. The Cardinals are expected to counter with Dakota Hudson. Head below for our free Brewers vs. Cardinals pick.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Cardinals -130/Brewers +110
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Zach Davies (8-5, 3.74 ERA)
  • Dakota Hudson (11-6, 3.82 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Zach Davies has been a leading option for the Brewers in their rotation this season. While the majority of the rotation was struggling, Davies was the one outlier who was delivering on the bump. It was quite impressive and Davies was on pace to break his previous career-high ERA of 3.90 set in 2017. I will ignore the 3.71 ERA he posted in six starts as a rookie since it wasn’t a full year for him.

Davies is obviously still on pace to beat an ERA of 3.90, but he’s making it difficult on himself down the stretch. Davies enters with an ERA of 3.74 and 1.39 WHIP, but his recent outings are putting a career-high in doubt now. He posted a 11.77 ERA, 2.00 WHIP, and .400 OBA in his previous three starts, allowing 18 runs in 13 innings of work.

Davies also hasn’t done well against the Cardinals in his career. The Cards are hitting .300 with 21 runs scores on Davies in 130 at-bats. In his last trip to St. Louis, Davies was good but the Cardinals were better with a 4-3 victory. Along with Davies struggling recently, their bullpen is likely going to be exhausted after the last two days in Washington.

Dakota Hudson is coming off a standout performance against the Royals in Kansas City. He shuttered the KC lineup for no runs across 6 innings of work. The bats took care of the rest, as the Cards enjoyed a 6-0 win. Hudson has allowed more than 3 runs in only 2 out of 25 appearances. Since April 21st, Hudson has been the model of consistency, with only one game with more than 3 runs scored against him. Expect the Cardinals to open a big series against an inter-divisional rival with a win at Busch Stadium on Monday night.

The Bet
CARDINALS
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.